Match Info

Challenger Pro League - Round 30

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Daknamstadion (Lokeren)

Referee: Stevens T. (Bel)


	Lokeren		Gent U23

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.6	3.6	Watch
	1.92	3.65	3.45
	1.96	3.86	3.72
	2.05	3.76	3.22	Watch
	1.91	3.4	3.3
	1.88	3.65	3.65	Watch
	2.13	3.41	2.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.11)	3.62 ↑ (3.44)	3.41 ↑ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lokeren
47.3%

Draw
25.6%

Gent U23
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

26.4%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

25.6%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokeren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Gent U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokeren than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gent U23 than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Lokeren - Gent U23 Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Lokeren will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Gent U23 will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lokeren (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Gent U23 (2.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Lokeren (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Gent U23 (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
56. Vervacke S. (G) 19. Lloci M. 33. Camara D. 3. Dianganga J. 16. Palacios J. 14. Janssen T. (C) 27. Van den Bergh R. 7. Brrou A. 10. Soumare M. 55. Van Aerschot S. 11. Mabanza V. R.	30. Peersman K. (G) 35. De Meyer G. 54. Vernemmen H. (C) 71. Blondeel P. 65. Morel B. 62. Asselman W. 67. Soroka O. 79. Vydysh R. 28. El Adfaoui M. 73. Sylla A. D. 19. Diop M.
Substitutes
39. Baert Y. (G) 9. Boere T. 25. Boonen I. 5. Boujouh N. 6. Brebels S. 8. Elejalde I. 28. Pau M. 26. Vervaque J. 2. Vinck J.	60. Buggea S. 90. Cauwel M. 58. Djamba Shango J. 70. Mazouz J. 63. Sota T. 50. Vanden Borre R. (G) 76. Vandenbroucke V. 77. Vanderdonck G. 80. Van Hoorick B.
Coaches
Vreven S.	Matton T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Mabanza V. R. ⚽,
15', 2 - 0, Van Aerschot S. ⚽, Janssen T. (A),
19', Mabanza V. R. 🟨,
43', 3 - 0, Van Aerschot S. ⚽, Soumare M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Vydysh R. ↓, Mazouz J. ↑,
46', Peersman K. ↓, Vanden Borre R. ↑,
46', Sylla A. D. ↓, Vanderdonck G. ↑,
64', Janssen T. 🟨,
64', De Meyer G. ↓, Vandenbroucke V. ↑,
65', Asselman W. ↓, Djamba Shango J. ↑,
72', Van den Bergh R. ↓, Brebels S. ↑,
72', Camara D. ↓, Vinck J. ↑,
74', Van Aerschot S. 🟨,
75', Mazouz J. 🟨,
78', 3 - 1, Vanderdonck G. ⚽, Diop M. (A),
80', Vernemmen H. 🟨,
80', Van Aerschot S. ↓, Boonen I. ↑,
83', 4 - 1, Brrou A. ⚽, Soumare M. (A),
89', Mabanza V. R. ↓, Boere T. ↑,
89', Palacios J. ↓, Boujouh N. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 8).

Lokeren is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Gent U23's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Gent U23 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Lokeren will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lokeren won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Sporting Lokeren	6	3	1	2	13:11	2	10
11	Gent U23	5	1	2	2	6:9	-3	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KSC Lokeren
Belgian Challenger Pro League
12.03.26	Francs Borains - Lokeren	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Lokeren - Beveren	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	Lokeren - Lommel	2:3 ✺
14.02.26	RWDM Brussels - Lokeren	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Lokeren - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLWT
- AA Gent U23
Belgian Challenger Pro League
11.03.26	Gent U23 - Lommel	2:2 ✺
06.03.26	Eupen - Gent U23	4:0 ✺
27.02.26	Gent U23 - Patro Eisden Maasmechelen	2:1 ✺
24.02.26	Gent U23 - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	1:3 ✺
21.02.26	Lierse - Gent U23	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
07.12.25	Gent U23 - Lokeren	1:3

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