Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 10 - ROUND 26

Date: 19 March 2023, Sunday


	Gerena		Ceuta B

	1	X	2
	1.43	3.8	6.75
	1.45	3.65	6.62
	1.47	3.8	6.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.42)	3.75 ↑ (3.72)	6.69 ↑ (6.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gerena
62.4%

Draw
24.1%

Ceuta B
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

23.8%

13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.8%

26.7%

12.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gerena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Ceuta B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gerena than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gerena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta B than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 11).

Recent matches Gerena is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ceuta B is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ceuta B could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Gerena is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Gerena won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Gerena won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Gerena
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
12.03.23	Ayamonte - Gerena	0:5 ✺
05.03.23	Gerena - Sevilla C	1:1 ✺
26.02.23	Coria CF - Gerena	0:0 ✺
19.02.23	Gerena - Ciudad de Lucena	0:1 ✺
12.02.23	Gerena - Pozoblanco	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WTTLW
- Ceuta B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
11.03.23	Ceuta B - Pozoblanco	2:0 ✺
04.03.23	Xerez CD - Ceuta B	0:1 ✺
25.02.23	Ceuta B - Córdoba B	0:0 ✺
21.02.23	Puente Genil - Ceuta B	0:1 ✺
11.02.23	Ceuta B - Espeleño	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 38.5 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
26.11.22	Ceuta B - Gerena	0:0
12.03.22	Ceuta B - Gerena	2:1
13.11.21	Gerena - Ceuta B	1:0

Gerena - Ceuta B: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide