Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 29

Date: 14 April 2024, Sunday


	Gerena		Ciudad de Lucena

	1	X	2
	3	2.85	2.25
	3.29	2.92	2.17
	3.29	2.92	2.18
	3.21	2.94	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↓ (3.22)	2.91 ↓ (3.05)	2.23 ↓ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gerena
28.3%

Draw
31.1%

Ciudad de Lucena
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

30.3%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

29.7%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gerena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Ciudad de Lucena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gerena than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ciudad de Lucena than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+2', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 2 - 0, ⚽,
90+5', 🟥,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 10 (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gerena won 1.

Recent matches Gerena is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ciudad de Lucena is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ciudad de Lucena will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Gerena won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 6-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Gerena won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Gerena
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
07.04.24	Ayamonte - Gerena	0:1 ✺
31.03.24	Gerena - Coria CF	1:3 ✺
23.03.24	La Palma - Gerena	0:1 ✺
10.03.24	Gerena - Xerez Deportivo	0:1 ✺
03.03.24	Bollullos - Gerena	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WLWLW
- CD Ciudad de Lucena
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
07.04.24	Ciudad de Lucena - Sevilla C	0:1 ✺
31.03.24	Ciudad de Lucena - Ayamonte	0:2 ✺
24.03.24	Coria CF - Ciudad de Lucena	1:1 ✺
10.03.24	Ciudad de Lucena - La Palma	1:0 ✺
03.03.24	Xerez Deportivo - Ciudad de Lucena	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
26.11.23	Ciudad de Lucena - Gerena	2:0
19.02.23	Gerena - Ciudad de Lucena	0:1
23.10.22	Ciudad de Lucena - Gerena	4:0
20.03.22	Gerena - Ciudad de Lucena	3:1
21.11.21	Ciudad de Lucena - Gerena	2:0
21.03.21	Gerena - Ciudad de Lucena	2:2
26.01.20	Gerena - Ciudad de Lucena	0:0

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