Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 10 - ROUND 24

Date: 3 March 2024, Sunday


	Xerez Deportivo		Ciudad de Lucena

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.75	3.1
	2.35	2.8	3.2
	2.35	2.69	3.25
	2.34	2.75	3.27
	2.35	2.8	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.5)	2.76 ↓ (3)	3.2 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Xerez Deportivo
38.8%

Draw
32.9%

Ciudad de Lucena
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

29.9%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

31.9%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Xerez Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Ciudad de Lucena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ciudad de Lucena might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xerez Deportivo than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ciudad de Lucena than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

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Preview

Recent matches Xerez Deportivo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ciudad de Lucena is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Xerez Deportivo won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Xerez Deportivo won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Xerez Deportivo FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
25.02.24	Ayamonte - Xerez Deportivo	1:1 ✺
18.02.24	Xerez Deportivo - Coria CF	4:2 ✺
11.02.24	La Palma - Xerez Deportivo	1:0 ✺
04.02.24	Xerez Deportivo - Sevilla C	2:1 ✺
28.01.24	Xerez Deportivo - Bollullos	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TWLWT
- CD Ciudad de Lucena
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
25.02.24	Ciudad de Lucena - Bollullos	2:0 ✺
18.02.24	Puente Genil - Ciudad de Lucena	0:0 ✺
11.02.24	Ciudad de Lucena - Pozoblanco	0:0 ✺
04.02.24	Utrera - Ciudad de Lucena	1:2 ✺
28.01.24	Ciudad de Lucena - Conil	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
22.10.23	Ciudad de Lucena - Xerez Deportivo	1:0
02.05.21	Xerez Deportivo - Ciudad de Lucena	2:0
28.04.21	Ciudad de Lucena - Xerez Deportivo	0:1
15.12.19	Xerez Deportivo - Ciudad de Lucena	1:0

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