Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 10 - ROUND 23

Date: 25 February 2024, Sunday


	Gerena		Puente Genil

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.95	2.4
	2.7	3	2.5
	2.76	2.84	2.5
	2.7	3.06	2.44
	2.7	3	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.64)	2.97 ↓ (3.14)	2.47 ↑ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gerena
33.3%

Draw
30.3%

Puente Genil
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

28.8%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

29.7%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gerena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Puente Genil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gerena than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puente Genil than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gerena won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Gerena won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 16-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Gerena won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Gerena
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
18.02.24	Pozoblanco - Gerena	2:1 ✺
11.02.24	Gerena - Utrera	2:2 ✺
04.02.24	Conil - Gerena	0:0 ✺
28.01.24	Gerena - Cartaya	0:3 ✺
21.01.24	Cabecense - Gerena	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LTTLW
- Puente Genil FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
18.02.24	Puente Genil - Ciudad de Lucena	0:0 ✺
11.02.24	Ayamonte - Puente Genil	1:2 ✺
03.02.24	Puente Genil - Coria CF	3:2 ✺
28.01.24	La Palma - Puente Genil	4:1 ✺
21.01.24	Puente Genil - Xerez Deportivo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
15.10.23	Puente Genil - Gerena	2:2
07.05.23	Gerena - Puente Genil	0:1
30.04.23	Puente Genil - Gerena	2:2
22.01.23	Puente Genil - Gerena	2:0
24.09.22	Gerena - Puente Genil	3:2
19.01.22	Gerena - Puente Genil	5:1
14.03.21	Puente Genil - Gerena	2:1

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