Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 30

Date: 13 April 2025, Sunday


	Puente Genil		Ciudad de Lucena

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.8	2.9
	2.39	2.9	3
	2.36	2.93	2.99
	2.39	2.9	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.38)	2.88 ↓ (2.91)	2.97 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Puente Genil
38.2%

Draw
31.4%

Ciudad de Lucena
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

31.3%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

31.1%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Puente Genil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

The chances for Ciudad de Lucena have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puente Genil than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ciudad de Lucena than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Puente Genil - Ciudad de Lucena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, Vela Resina I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 10 (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Puente Genil won 3.

Now both teams are in good shape.

Ciudad de Lucena could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Puente Genil won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:4 (average 0.8:0.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Puente Genil won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 0.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Puente Genil FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
05.04.25	Ceuta B - Puente Genil	0:2 ✺
23.03.25	Utrera - Puente Genil	0:0 ✺
16.03.25	Puente Genil - San Roque de Lepe	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Tomares - Puente Genil	1:1 ✺
16.02.25	Puente Genil - Coria CF	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WTTTW
- CD Ciudad de Lucena
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
06.04.25	La Palma - Ciudad de Lucena	3:2 ✺
22.03.25	Conil - Ciudad de Lucena	1:2 ✺
16.03.25	Ciudad de Lucena - Utrera	2:0 ✺
09.03.25	San Roque de Lepe - Ciudad de Lucena	0:1 ✺
02.03.25	Ciudad de Lucena - Bollullos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
01.12.24	Ciudad de Lucena - Puente Genil	0:1
18.02.24	Puente Genil - Ciudad de Lucena	0:0
08.10.23	Ciudad de Lucena - Puente Genil	1:1
16.04.23	Puente Genil - Ciudad de Lucena	1:0
11.12.22	Ciudad de Lucena - Puente Genil	0:1
03.04.22	Puente Genil - Ciudad de Lucena	2:1
05.12.21	Ciudad de Lucena - Puente Genil	0:0

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