Match Info

World Cup - Qualification

Date: 10 October 2025, Friday

Location: PreZero Arena (Sinsheim)

Referee: Minakovic N. (Srb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 2, Q Football Asia, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	SportKlub 7
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	UEFA TV
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, V Sport Premium
France	L'Equipe Live Foot
Germany	ARD, Das Erste, Joyn, ProSieben Maxx
Greece	Nova Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2
Indonesia	iNews, Vidio
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Uno
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	ART Sport 3
Luxembourg	RTL, RTL
Maldives	Medianet
Mexico	Sky Sport
Mongolia	Premier Sports 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	Sky Sport 4
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	ESPN Norte, RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 2
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
Slovakia	Sport 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 5
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	ESPN South, ViX Latin America
South-korea	SPOTV, SPOTV Now
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 2
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fox Soccer Plus, Fox
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
World	Sport 24, Sport 24 At Sea


	Germany		Luxembourg

	1	X	2
	1.03	15	67
	1.02	21	100
	1.04	22	66
	1.06	11.71	41.26	Watch
	1.04	24	70	Watch
	1.06	11	35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.04 ↓ (1.05)	17.45 ↑ (12)	63.21 ↑ (35)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Germany
92.9%

Draw
5.5%

Luxembourg
1.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

89.5%

7.8%

2.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Germany has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Luxembourg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.2%	5.3%	10.5%

Germany - Luxembourg Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Germany will win (votes: 16 - 84.2%). Luxembourg will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Germany: 67.8% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 12 - 85.7%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Germany will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Baumann O. (G) Hoffenheim 6. Kimmich J. (C) Bayern Munich 4. Tah J. Bayern Munich 15. Schlotterbeck N. Dortmund 22. Raum D. RB Leipzig 8. Goretzka L. Bayern Munich 5. Pavlovic A. Bayern Munich 20. Gnabry S. Bayern Munich 17. Wirtz F. Liverpool 14. Adeyemi K. Dortmund 11. Woltemade N. Newcastle Utd	1. Moris A. (G) Al Khaleej 18. Jans L. (C) SK Beveren 3. Mahmutovic E. NAC Breda 2. Korac S. Venezia 13. Carlson D. St. Polten 19. Olesen M. Greuther Furth 8. Martins C. Spartak Moscow 6. de Sousa T. Benfica 16. Barreiro L. Benfica 4. Bohnert F. Bastia 9. Dardari A. Augsburg
Substitutes
10. Amiri N. Mainz 23. Andrich R. Bayer Leverkusen 2. Anton W. Dortmund 7. Baku R. RB Leipzig 9. Beier M. Dortmund 18. Brown N. Eintracht Frankfurt 19. Burkardt J. Eintracht Frankfurt 21. Dahmen F. (G) Augsburg 3. Koch R. Eintracht Frankfurt 13. Nmecha F. Dortmund 12. Nubel A. (G) VfB Stuttgart 16. Stiller A. VfB Stuttgart	10. Avdusinovic K. Progres Niedercorn 5. Curci A. Neftci Baku 20. Dzogovic E. Magdeburg 23. Fox L. (G) Bocholt 22. Martins M. Winterthur 11. Muratovic E. Odra Opole 12. Pereira Cardoso T. (G) B. Monchengladbach 17. Selimovic V. FC Hermannstadt 15. Thill O. IMT Novi Beograd 21. Thill S. S. Rzeszow 14. Veiga E. Flamurtari
Coaches
Nagelsmann J.	Strasser J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Raum D. ⚽,
20', Carlson D. 🟥,
21', 2 - 0, Kimmich J. (Pen),
34', Strasser J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Schlotterbeck N. ↓, Anton W. ↑,
46', Bohnert F. ↓, Veiga E. ↑,
48', 3 - 0, Gnabry S. ⚽,
50', 4 - 0, Kimmich J. ⚽,
60', Martins C. 🟨,
61', Woltemade N. ↓, Burkardt J. ↑,
61', Adeyemi K. ↓, Baku R. ↑,
67', Dardari A. ↓, Selimovic V. ↑,
67', de Sousa T. ↓, Thill O. ↑,
68', Gnabry S. ↓, Beier M. ↑,
78', Martins C. ↓, Thill S. ↑,
82', Raum D. ↓, Brown N. ↑,
87', Olesen M. ↓, Dzogovic E. ↑,

Preview

In this match, Germany is the obvious favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Germany
FIFA World Cup
07.09.25	Germany - Northern Ireland	3:1 ✺
04.09.25	Slovakia - Germany	2:0 ✺
UEFA Nations League
08.06.25	Germany - France	0:2 ✺
04.06.25	Germany - Portugal	1:2 ✺
23.03.25	Germany - Italy	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 WLLLT
- Luxembourg
FIFA World Cup
07.09.25	Luxembourg - Slovakia	0:1 ✺
04.09.25	Luxembourg - Northern Ireland	1:3 ✺
Friendly
10.06.25	Luxembourg - Ireland	0:0 ✺
06.06.25	Luxembourg - Slovenia	0:1 ✺
25.03.25	Switzerland - Luxembourg	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLTLL

Germany - Luxembourg: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide