What is the expert prediction for Germany vs France?

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Germany vs France Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Sunday, June 08, 2025)

Match Info

UEFA Nations League - League A - Play Offs - 3rd place

Date: 8 June 2025, Sunday

Location: MHPArena (Stuttgart)

Referee: Kruzliak I. (Svk)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Canal+ Evenement, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	Optus Sport
Austria	DAZN, RTL, Sky Go Austria
Belarus	Okko Sport
Belgium	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Globoplay, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Cambodia	CNC, CTN
Canada	DAZN Canada
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Nova TV, SportKlub 1
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	CT sport, CT sport Plus, Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	Molotov TV, TF 1, TF1+
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch, RTL, RTL+
Greece	Alpha TV, Nova Sports Prime
Hungary	Spiler2 TV
Iceland	Viaplay, Vodafone Sport
India	Vision+
Indonesia	iNews, K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Iran	Persiana Sports
Ireland	Shabake 3, Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	Cielo TV, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Qazsport
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	Sky Sport 4
North-central-america	Csport Caribbean, RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
Norway	TV2 Play
Pakistan	Tapmad
Papua-new-guinea	TVWan Sports
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 1, TVP Sport
Portugal	Sport TV1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
South-america	ESPN South, ViX Latin America
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, RSI La 2, RTL, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV, TF 1
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 3
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport+, TV 8
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Virgin TV Go app
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fubo Sports Network, Sport 24 Extra, Tubi TV
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	TV 360
World	VIX App


	Germany		France

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.8	2.63
	2.37	3.6	2.6
	2.42	3.7	2.7
	2.31	4	2.92
	2.49	3.91	2.69	Watch
	2.45	3.6	2.6
	2.65	3.88	2.53	Watch
	2.42	3.7	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (2.58)	3.77 ↑ (3.41)	2.67 ↓ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Germany
39%

Draw
25.3%

France
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

28%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Germany has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

France has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.7%	16.7%	61.7%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 58 users predict this event. Germany will win (votes: 13 - 22.4%). France will win (votes: 36 - 62.1%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 15.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for France: 49.6% – 74.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 22 Selected Experts predict this event. Germany (votes: 8 - 36.4%). France (votes: 13 - 59.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 4.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Germany (1.86) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DC - France (1.54) (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

AH -0.25 - France (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

TQ, OT - France (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - France (1.96) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 37 Selected Experts predict this event. Germany (votes: 9 - 24.3%). France (votes: 27 - 73%). Tie (votes: 1 - 2.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. ter Stegen M. (G) Barcelona 6. Kimmich J. (C) Bayern Munich 4. Tah J. Bayer Leverkusen 3. Koch R. Eintracht Frankfurt 22. Raum D. RB Leipzig 5. Gross P. Dortmund 8. Goretzka L. Bayern Munich 11. Woltemade N. VfB Stuttgart 17. Wirtz F. Bayer Leverkusen 14. Adeyemi K. Dortmund 9. Fullkrug N. West Ham	16. Maignan M. (G) AC Milan 17. Gusto M. Chelsea 4. Bade L. Sevilla 21. Hernandez L. PSG 3. Digne L. Aston Villa 8. Tchouameni A. Real Madrid 14. Rabiot A. Marseille 12. Kolo Muani R. Juventus 25. Cherki R. Lyon 9. Thuram M. Inter 10. Mbappe K. (C) Real Madrid
Substitutes
23. Andrich R. Bayer Leverkusen 2. Anton W. Dortmund 12. Baumann O. (G) Hoffenheim 26. Bischof T. Hoffenheim 20. Gnabry S. Bayern Munich 21. Gosens R. Fiorentina 15. Kehrer T. Monaco 18. Mittelstadt M. VfB Stuttgart 7. Nmecha F. Dortmund 24. Nubel A. (G) VfB Stuttgart 25. Pavlovic A. Bayern Munich 19. Sane L. Bayern Munich 13. Undav D. VfB Stuttgart	23. Chevalier L. (G) Lille 24. Doue D. PSG 6. Guendouzi M. Lazio 22. Hernandez T. AC Milan 19. Kalulu P. Juventus 15. Konate I. Liverpool 13. Kone M. AS Roma 11. Olise M. Bayern Munich 2. Pavard B. Inter 1. Samba B. (G) Rennes 18. Zaire-Emery W. PSG
Coaches
Nagelsmann J.	Deschamps D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', Digne L. 🟨,
29', Raum D. 🟨,
35', Adeyemi K. 🟨,
45', 0 - 1, Mbappe K. ⚽, Tchouameni A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Woltemade N. ↓, Undav D. ↑,
61', Hernandez L. 🟨,
61', Tah J. 🟨,
65', Goretzka L. ↓, Bischof T. ↑,
65', Raum D. ↓, Mittelstadt M. ↑,
68', Kolo Muani R. ↓, Doue D. ↑,
68', Cherki R. ↓, Olise M. ↑,
68', Tchouameni A. ↓, Kone M. ↑,
73', Gross P. ↓, Kehrer T. ↑,
78', Adeyemi K. ↓, Gnabry S. ↑,
84', 0 - 2, Olise M. ⚽, Mbappe K. (A),
90', Thuram M. ↓, Guendouzi M. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Germany won 2.

France may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Germany won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1:1.2).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Germany
UEFA Nations League
04.06.25	Germany - Portugal	1:2 ✺
23.03.25	Germany - Italy	3:3 ✺
20.03.25	Italy - Germany	1:2 ✺
19.11.24	Hungary - Germany	1:1 ✺
16.11.24	Germany - Bosnia and Herzegovina	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTWTW
- France
UEFA Nations League
05.06.25	Spain - France	5:4 ✺
23.03.25	France - Croatia	3:0 penalties ✺
20.03.25	Croatia - France	2:0 ✺
17.11.24	Italy - France	1:3 ✺
14.11.24	France - Israel	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Friendly
23.03.24	France - Germany	0:2
12.09.23	Germany - France	2:1
UEFA Euro
15.06.21	France - Germany	1:0
UEFA Nations League
16.10.18	France - Germany	2:1
06.09.18	Germany - France	0:0
Friendly
14.11.17	Germany - France	2:2
UEFA Euro
07.07.16	Germany - France	0:2

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