Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 14

Date: 1 December 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Gernika		Anguiano

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.4	4.1
	1.73	3.4	4.4
	1.74	3.27	4.92
	1.71	3.32	4.95	Watch
	1.73	3.5	4.57
	1.73	3.4	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (2.34)	3.38 ↑ (3.13)	4.56 ↑ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gernika
52.9%

Draw
27%

Anguiano
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

29.5%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

28.7%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gernika has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gernika's performance.

Anguiano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Anguiano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gernika than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gernika that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anguiano than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Anguiano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gernika - Anguiano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
86', 1 - 0, Baque I. ⚽,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 9).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Gernika could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Gernika is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gernika Club
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
23.11.24	Arenas Club de Getxo - Gernika	4:1 ✺
17.11.24	Gernika - SD Logroñés	1:0 ✺
10.11.24	Calahorra - Gernika	0:0 ✺
02.11.24	Gernika - Utebo	1:1 ✺
26.10.24	Eibar B - Gernika	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29 LWTTW
- CD Anguiano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
24.11.24	Anguiano - UD Logroñés	2:1 ✺
17.11.24	Alavés B - Anguiano	1:0 ✺
10.11.24	Anguiano - Zaragoza B	0:2 ✺
03.11.24	Alfaro - Anguiano	1:2 ✺
27.10.24	Anguiano - Real Sociedad C	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WLLWT

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