Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 25

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday


	Eibar B		Gernika

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.92	3.6
	2.04	2.95	4.12
	2.18	2.82	3.65	Watch
	2.2	2.7	3.4
	1.99	3.13	4.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.31)	2.9 ↓ (3.02)	3.77 ↑ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eibar B
43.9%

Draw
31.7%

Gernika
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

30.4%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

30.4%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eibar B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Gernika has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gernika might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eibar B than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gernika than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gernika could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Eibar B - Gernika Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', 2 - 1, ⚽,
51', 🟥,
82', 2 - 2, ⚽,
90+1', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 7).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Eibar B could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Eibar B won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Eibar B won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Gernika - the odds 3.09 are the expected chance of winning is 29.75%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Eibar B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
21.02.26	Real Unión de Irun - Eibar B	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Eibar B - Basconia	1:3 ✺
08.02.26	Zaragoza B - Eibar B	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Eibar B - Tudelano	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Alavés B - Eibar B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLWWL
- Gernika Club
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
22.02.26	Gernika - Sestao	0:0 ✺
14.02.26	Mutilvera - Gernika	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	Gernika - Real Unión de Irun	2:3 ✺
31.01.26	Gernika - SD Logroñés	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	Alfaro - Gernika	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
20.12.25	Gernika - Eibar B	1:2
08.03.25	Gernika - Eibar B	0:4
26.10.24	Eibar B - Gernika	1:2

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