The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tudelano 50.7%
Draw 28.6%
Gernika 20.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56%
26.2%
17.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.4%
25.9%
18%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tudelano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tudelano's form might have worsened.
Gernika has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tudelano than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gernika than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Tudelano - Gernika Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+3', 1 - 0, Alayeto I. ⚽,
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tudelano won 2.
Tudelano is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Gernika is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Gernika may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Tudelano is considered a favorite.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Tudelano won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:12. (average 1.7:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Tudelano won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 2:1.2).