The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Gernika 26.4%
Draw 31.8%
Real Unión de Irun 41.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.2%
32.1%
40.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.1%
32.2%
40.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gernika has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Real Unión de Irun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gernika than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Unión de Irun than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Gernika - Real Unión de Irun Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
#ad
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
37', Carrillo H. 🟥,
41', 0 - 1, Tellechea I. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
54', 0 - 2, Soroeta J. ⚽,
68', 1 - 2, ⚽,
71', 2 - 2, ⚽,
77', 2 - 3, Soroeta J. ⚽,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 1 in the zone Promotion).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gernika won 1.
Gernika is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Real Unión's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Real Unión is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Gernika won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:18. (average 1.4:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Gernika won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:8. (average 1:2).
Last Results with these Odds
Real Unión de Irun - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 40.67%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.