Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 16

Date: 14 December 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Gernika		Subiza

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.5	5.25
	1.57	3.6	5.4
	1.58	3.72	5.77
	1.56	3.66	5.73	Watch
	1.59	3.72	5.42
	1.57	3.6	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.93)	3.63 ↑ (3.1)	5.5 ↑ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gernika
58.2%

Draw
25.2%

Subiza
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

29.3%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

28.5%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gernika has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gernika's performance.

Subiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Subiza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gernika than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gernika that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Subiza than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Subiza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gernika - Subiza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Arzalluz M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', 1 - 1, Perez B. ⚽,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Gernika is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gernika Club
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
08.12.24	Barbastro - Gernika	2:0 ✺
01.12.24	Gernika - Anguiano	1:0 ✺
23.11.24	Arenas Club de Getxo - Gernika	4:1 ✺
17.11.24	Gernika - SD Logroñés	1:0 ✺
10.11.24	Calahorra - Gernika	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWLWT
- CD Subiza
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
07.12.24	Subiza - UD Logroñés	0:0 ✺
01.12.24	Alavés B - Subiza	1:0 ✺
24.11.24	Subiza - Zaragoza B	2:0 ✺
17.11.24	Alfaro - Subiza	2:0 ✺
09.11.24	Subiza - Real Sociedad C	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TLWLW

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