Match Info

Stars League - Round 10

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stars League 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Iraq	18:00	Al Iraqiya Sports, Almanasa


	Ghaz Al Shamal		Al-Zawraa

	1	X	2
	3.90	3.00	1.87
	3.95	3.10	1.82
	3.96	3.13	1.85
	4.08	3.1	1.9	Watch
	3.90	3.05	1.82
	4.11	3.34	1.86
	4.00	3.20	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.99 ↓ (4.69)	3.13 ↓ (3.4)	1.85 ↑ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ghaz Al Shamal
22.6%

Draw
28.8%

Al-Zawraa
48.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

19.8%

27.3%

52.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.3%

26.6%

54.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ghaz Al Shamal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Al-Zawraa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ghaz Al Shamal than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Zawraa than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Zawraa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ghaz Al Shamal - Al Zawraa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Ali M. ⚽, Esso J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 15th and 4th).

Ghaz Al Shamal is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Al-Zawraa shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Ghaz Al Shamal could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Al-Zawraa is considered the favorite to take the win.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Al Zawraa	11	5	3	3	15:9	6	18
10	Ghaz Al Shamal	11	3	5	3	6:7	-1	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ghaz Al Shamal
Iraqi Premier League
10.10.26	Al-Minaa - Ghaz Al Shamal	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	Ghaz Al Shamal - Newroz	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Ghaz Al Shamal	0:0 ✺
08.09.26	Duhok - Ghaz Al Shamal	1:1 ✺
04.09.26	Ghaz Al Shamal - Al-Jolan	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 LTTTL
- Al-Zawraa
Gulf Club Champions League
13.10.26	Qatar SC - Al-Zawraa	1:1 ✺
Iraqi Premier League
08.10.26	Duhok - Al-Zawraa	3:0 ✺
17.09.26	Al-Zawraa - Al-Gharraf	2:0 ✺
10.09.26	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Al-Zawraa	0:1 ✺
07.09.26	Al-Zawraa - Al-Kahraba	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 TLWWW

Ghaz Al Shamal - Al-Zawraa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide