Match Info

League Cup - Round 5

Date: 17 April 2025, Thursday

Location: El-Gazel Stadium (El Mahalla El Kubra)


	Ghazl El Mahalla		Al Masry

	1	X	2
	3.66	2.94	2.23
	3.53	2.9	2.18
	3.36	3.1	2.23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.52 ↑ (3.17)	2.98 ↓ (3)	2.21 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ghazl El Mahalla
26.5%

Draw
31.3%

Al Masry
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

30.3%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

29%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ghazl El Mahalla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Al Masry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ghazl El Mahalla than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Masry than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Ghazl El Mahalla - Al Masry Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nafrawi A. (G) 12. Zakaria Y. 4. Castelo A. 5. El Gazar A. 30. El Nagar O. 25. Ashraf M. 33. Toure M. 26. Fatawu H. 70. Mayhob E. 20. Ben Hammouda M. 13. Hassan I.	27. Gad M. (G) 20. Eid A. 5. Sobhi K. 29. Hashem M. 13. El Saadawy A. 14. Hamada M. 6. Makhlouf M. 40. Dabash A. A. 22. Mido Gaber 24. Badji P. 19. Faisal H.
Substitutes
14. Akhmimi E. K. 24. Arfaoui R. 15. Ashraf M. 22. Fawzi A. 7. Gaber M. 11. Hamdi M. 36. Nabih M. 29. Yasin A.	8. Ali H. 33. Amankona L. 35. Bah A. 10. Bambo Karim 15. El Armouty A. 7. El Eraki K. 17. El Gohary Y. 25. Samadou A. 16. Shehata M. (G)
Coaches
Papavasiliou N.	Boujelbene A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ben Hammouda M. ↓, Hamdi M. ↑,
46', Mayhob E. ↓, Fawzi A. ↑,
57', Toure M. 🟨,
60', Mido Gaber ↓, Bambo Karim ↑,
60', Eid A. ↓, El Eraki K. ↑,
69', Hassan I. ↓, Arfaoui R. ↑,
69', Sharqieh M. ↓, Akhmimi E. K. ↑,
77', El Saadawy A. ↓, Ali H. ↑,
77', Dabash A. A. ↓, Amankona L. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ghazl El Mahalla won 1.

Ghazl El Mahalla is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Al Masry is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ghazl El Mahalla could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Ghazl El Mahalla won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:13 (average 0.9:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Ghazl El Mahalla won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:6 (average 1.2:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Al Masry - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 40.98%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ghazl El Mahalla
Egyptian Premier League
11.04.25	Ghazl El Mahalla - Smouha	1:0 ✺
Egyptian League Cup
22.03.25	Ceramica Cleopatra - Ghazl El Mahalla	3:0 ✺
18.03.25	National Bank of Egypt - Ghazl El Mahalla	1:1 ✺
Egyptian Cup
15.03.25	Ghazl El Mahalla - National Bank of Egypt	0:1 ET ✺
Egyptian Premier League
12.03.25	Ghazl El Mahalla - ZED	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLTLL
- Al Masry Club
Egyptian Premier League
13.04.25	Al Masry - Petrojet	4:0 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
09.04.25	Simba - Al Masry	3:0 penalties ✺
Egyptian League Cup
05.04.25	Al Masry - Ceramica Cleopatra	1:1 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
02.04.25	Al Masry - Simba	2:0 ✺
Egyptian League Cup
24.03.25	National Bank of Egypt - Al Masry	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian Premier League
18.02.25	Ghazl El Mahalla - Al Masry	1:0
07.06.23	Ghazl El Mahalla - Al Masry	1:1
20.01.23	Al Masry - Ghazl El Mahalla	1:1
11.05.22	Al Masry - Ghazl El Mahalla	1:1
28.10.21	Ghazl El Mahalla - Al Masry	1:1
14.05.21	Ghazl El Mahalla - Al Masry	1:2
30.12.20	Al Masry - Ghazl El Mahalla	1:0

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