Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group E - Round 18

Date: 5 January 2025, Sunday


	Ghiviborgo		Ostia Mare

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.4	3.4
	1.84	3.7	3.5
	1.88	3.48	3.58
	1.84	3.7	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.7)	3.57 ↑ (3.53)	3.5 ↓ (4.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ghiviborgo
48.8%

Draw
25.3%

Ostia Mare
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

25.7%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

23.2%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ghiviborgo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Ostia Mare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ghiviborgo than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ostia Mare than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Ghiviborgo - Ostia Mare Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Persichini L. ⚽,
18', 1 - 1, Gori L. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', 1 - 2, Pinna P. ⚽,
62', 2 - 2, Gori L. ⚽,
72', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: ) and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )).

Recent matches Ghiviborgo is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ostia Mare is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Ghiviborgo have a series of guest games.

In this match Ghiviborgo is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GSD Ghiviborgo VDS
Italian Serie D - Group E
22.12.24	Ghiviborgo - Fezzanese	4:2 ✺
15.12.24	Grosseto - Ghiviborgo	3:1 ✺
01.12.24	Fulgens Foligno - Ghiviborgo	2:3 ✺
17.11.24	SanGiovanniValdarno - Ghiviborgo	5:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
06.11.24	Livorno - Ghiviborgo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLWLL
- AS Ostia Mare Lido Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group E
22.12.24	Montevarchi - Ostia Mare	3:2 ✺
15.12.24	Ostia Mare - Siena	0:1 ✺
08.12.24	San Donato Tavarnelle - Ostia Mare	1:1 ✺
30.11.24	Grosseto - Ostia Mare	1:0 ✺
10.11.24	Ostia Mare - Fezzanese	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLTLW

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