Match Info

Serie D - Winners stage - Round 2

Date: 13 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Stadio Carlo Zecchini (Grosseto)


	Grosseto		Ostia Mare

	1	X	2
	2.43	3.11	2.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 (2.43)	3.11 (3.11)	2.78 (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grosseto
37.7%

Draw
29.4%

Ostia Mare
32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

29.9%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Grosseto have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Ostia Mare have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grosseto than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ostia Mare than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Grosseto - Ostia Mare Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Vianni S. ⚽,
15', 0 - 2, Vianni S. ⚽,
32', 1 - 2, Regoli V. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
71', 1 - 3, Vagnoni M. ⚽,
80', 2 - 3, Marzierli E. ⚽,

Preview

Grosseto is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Ostia Mare is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Grosseto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grosseto won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.2:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Grosseto won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Grosseto
Italian Serie D - Group E
26.04.26	Grosseto - San Donato Tavarnelle	0:2 ✺
19.04.26	Prato - Grosseto	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Grosseto - Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro	2:2 ✺
02.04.26	Siena - Grosseto	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Grosseto - Follonica Gavorrano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLTTT
- AS Ostia Mare Lido Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
03.05.26	Giulianova - Ostia Mare	4:0 ✺
19.04.26	Ostia Mare - L Aquila	3:1 ✺
12.04.26	Notaresco - Ostia Mare	1:2 ✺
02.04.26	Ostia Mare - Chieti	3:0 ✺
29.03.26	Sammaurese - Ostia Mare	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
13.04.25	Ostia Mare - Grosseto	1:0
30.11.24	Grosseto - Ostia Mare	1:0
11.03.23	Grosseto - Ostia Mare	0:0
06.11.22	Ostia Mare - Grosseto	1:0
Italian Serie D - Group G
20.03.16	Ostia Mare - Grosseto	1:0

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