Match Info

Serie D - Group E - Round 17

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Carlo Zecchini (Grosseto)


	Grosseto		Ghiviborgo

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.65	5.3
	1.55	3.97	5.11
	1.53	3.5	5.5
	1.5	3.66	6.2
	1.53	4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.56)	3.76 ↑ (3.65)	5.42 ↓ (5.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grosseto
59.2%

Draw
24.1%

Ghiviborgo
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.6%

25.1%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.9%

23.4%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grosseto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Ghiviborgo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grosseto than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ghiviborgo than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Grosseto - Ghiviborgo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Grosseto (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Sacchini S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
69', 🟥,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 8).

Grosseto is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ghiviborgo's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Grosseto is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Grosseto will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Grosseto won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 2.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Grosseto won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Grosseto
Italian Serie D - Group E
14.12.25	San Donato Tavarnelle - Grosseto	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Grosseto - Prato	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro - Grosseto	0:2 ✺
23.11.25	Grosseto - Siena	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Follonica Gavorrano - Grosseto	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWWTW
- GSD Ghiviborgo VDS
Italian Serie D - Group E
14.12.25	Ghiviborgo - Montevarchi	0:2 ✺
07.12.25	Seravezza Pozzi - Ghiviborgo	2:0 ✺
30.11.25	Ghiviborgo - San Donato Tavarnelle	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Foligno - Ghiviborgo	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Prato - Ghiviborgo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
27.04.25	Ghiviborgo - Grosseto	3:2
15.12.24	Grosseto - Ghiviborgo	3:1

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