Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group A - Round 7

Date: 29 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Citta di Gorgonzola (Gorgonzola)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 256


	Giana Erminio		Union Clodiense

	1	X	2
	1.98	2.87	3.7
	2.1	3	3.75
	2.1	2.95	3.8
	2.08	3	3.98	Watch
	2	2.9	3.7
	2.03	2.94	3.76	Watch
	2.1	3	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.37)	2.95 ↑ (2.63)	3.78 ↑ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giana Erminio
44.6%

Draw
31.1%

Union Clodiense
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

34.5%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

34.4%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giana Erminio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Giana Erminio's performance.

Union Clodiense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giana Erminio than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Giana Erminio that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Clodiense than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Giana Erminio - Union Clodiense Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Giana Erminio will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Mangiapoco S. (G) 23. Caferri L. 47. Scaringi M. 6. Ferri L. 26. Previtali N. 14. Marotta M. 7. Pinto D. 11. Spaviero T. 15. Ballabio M. 10. Lamesta A. 19. Stuckler D.	1. Gasparini M. (G) 13. Sinn L. 24. Nessi R. 4. Munaretto A. (C) 32. Lattanzio A. 8. Serena F. 10. Gasperi M. 25. Maniero L. 14. Biondi K. 19. Scapin T. 7. Morello M.
Substitutes
27. Alborghetti M. 17. Avinci G. 73. Buzzi E. 13. Colombara M. 18. De Maria V. 29. Moro L. (G) 20. Muzio C. 21. Pala A. 77. Piazza A. 24. Pirotta D. 9. Trombetta M.	27. Barsi S. 41. Brzan R. (G) 11. Manfredonia M. 6. Nelli J. 80. Niang O. 3. Pozzi A. 5. Salvi M. 18. Sinani I. 9. Verde F. 90. Vitale V. 46. Vukusic R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Lattanzio A. ↓, Barsi S. ↑,
48', Scapin T. 🟨,
49', Pinto D. 🟨,
52', Nessi R. 🟨,
53', 1 - 0, Stuckler D. (Pen),
56', Scapin T. ↓, Verde F. ↑,
56', Maniero L. ↓, Sinn L. ↑,
63', Ballabio M. 🟨,
66', Verde F. 🟨,
70', Spaviero T. ↓, Trombetta M. ↑,
72', Gasperi M. ↓, Nelli J. ↑,
77', Pinto D. ↓, De Maria V. ↑,
78', Morello M. ↓, Vitale V. ↑,
78', Marotta M. 🟨,
90', 2 - 0, Stuckler D. ⚽,
90+2', Caferri L. ↓, Colombara M. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 1, Nelli J. ⚽,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 14 and 13).

Giana Erminio is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Clodiense is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Giana Erminio could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Giana Erminio will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Giana Erminio
Italian Serie C Group A
25.09.24	FeralpiSalò - Giana Erminio	2:0 ✺
20.09.24	Giana Erminio - AlbinoLeffe	0:2 ✺
13.09.24	Renate - Giana Erminio	1:0 ✺
08.09.24	Pro Vercelli - Giana Erminio	0:1 ✺
31.08.24	Giana Erminio - Pro Patria	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLLWT
- Union Clodiense SSD
Italian Serie C Group A
26.09.24	Union Clodiense - Trento	2:2 ✺
21.09.24	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Union Clodiense	1:0 ✺
15.09.24	Union Clodiense - Lumezzane	1:1 ✺
07.09.24	Pergolettese - Union Clodiense	2:2 ✺
31.08.24	Union Clodiense - Triestina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TLTTW

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