Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 3

Date: 7 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Citta di Gorgonzola (Gorgonzola)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255


	Giana Erminio		Pro Patria

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2	2.9	3.6
	2.05	2.98	3.7
	2.08	3.02	3.96
	2.13	2.97	3.71	Watch
	2.1	3.14	3.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (2.04)	3 ↑ (2.98)	3.73 ↓ (3.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giana Erminio
44.5%

Draw
30.7%

Pro Patria
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

30.8%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giana Erminio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Pro Patria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	60%	0%

Giana Erminio - Pro Patria Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Giana Erminio will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Giana Erminio (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Giana Erminio (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zenti A. (G) 27. Alborghetti M. 4. Piazza A. 13. Colombara M. 33. Albertini A. 10. Lamesta A. 14. Marotta M. 5. Berretta A. 24. Ruffini L. 97. Gabbiani G. 11. Capelli A.	1. Rovida W. (G) 6. Viti M. 13. Aliata T. 4. Reggiori P. 27. Giudici L. 25. Ferri D. 40. Schiro T. 5. Di Munno A. 93. Dimarco C. 11. Renelus B. 10. Mastroianni F.
Substitutes
9. Akammadu F. 15. Ballabio M. 19. Duca T. 37. Lischetti L. 12. Magni S. (G) 22. Mazza A. (G) 8. Nelli J. 3. Nucifero T. 23. Occhipinti E. 7. Pinto D. 20. Renda F. 90. Vitale V.	80. Bagatti N. 14. Citterio G. 30. Ferrario L. 16. Frattini A. 18. Galantatucci C. 56. Ganz S. 29. Gentile F. 12. Gnonto R. (G) 24. Marra A. 26. Masi A. 20. Mora C. 39. Motolese M. 7. Orfei A. 3. Verre M. 22. Zamarian M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Alborghetti M. ⚽,
23', Aliata T. 🟨,
41', Mastroianni F. 🟨,
45+1', Viti M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Viti M. ↓, Orfei A. ↑,
51', Lamesta A. 🟨,
53', Dimarco C. 🟨,
57', Dimarco C. ↓, Mora C. ↑,
57', Gabbiani G. ↓, Akammadu F. ↑,
57', Capelli A. ↓, Renda F. ↑,
58', 1 - 1, Mastroianni F. ⚽,
65', Renelus B. ↓, Bagatti N. ↑,
70', Berretta A. ↓, Ballabio M. ↑,
80', Marotta M. ↓, Pinto D. ↑,
80', Albertini A. ↓, Mazza A. ↑,
87', Schiro T. ↓, Citterio G. ↑,
87', Mastroianni F. ↓, Ganz S. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 1, Ballabio M. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Giana Erminio won 2.

Pro Patria's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Pro Patria may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Giana Erminio is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Giana Erminio won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:19. (average 1.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Giana Erminio won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1:1.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Pro Patria - the odds 3.77 are the expected chance of winning is 24.31%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Giana Erminio
Italian Serie C Group A
30.08.25	Renate - Giana Erminio	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Giana Erminio - Trento	0:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
16.08.25	Giana Erminio - Atalanta U23	1:4 ✺
Club Friendly
24.07.25	Monza - Giana Erminio	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
21.05.25	Ternana - Giana Erminio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLLLL
- Aurora Pro Patria 1919
Italian Serie C Group A
31.08.25	Inter U23 - Pro Patria	2:2 ✺
24.08.25	Pro Patria - Pro Vercelli	2:3 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
17.08.25	Pro Patria - Alcione	1:2 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.25	Castellanzese - Pro Patria	0:2 ✺
03.08.25	Cremonese - Pro Patria	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
06.01.25	Pro Patria - Giana Erminio	1:2
31.08.24	Giana Erminio - Pro Patria	1:1
06.01.24	Giana Erminio - Pro Patria	1:2
03.09.23	Pro Patria - Giana Erminio	1:2
13.03.22	Pro Patria - Giana Erminio	5:1
31.10.21	Giana Erminio - Pro Patria	1:1
18.04.21	Giana Erminio - Pro Patria	1:1

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