Match Info

GERMANY: Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 8

Date: 14 September 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	Onefootball app


	Gießen		Homburg

	1	X	2
	4	3.6	1.68
	4.5	3.75	1.68
	4.37	3.97	1.69
	4.37	3.98	1.64	Watch
	4.3	3.74	1.68
	4.5	3.75	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.34 ↑ (3.44)	3.8 ↑ (3.48)	1.68 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gießen
21.1%

Draw
24.1%

Homburg
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.5%

26.2%

47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

25.5%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gießen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gießen's form might have worsened.

Homburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Homburg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gießen than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Homburg than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Homburg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Gießen - Homburg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Ristl M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
80', 0 - 2, Hummel D. ⚽,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 10 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gießen won 0.

Recent matches Gießen is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Homburg is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Homburg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Homburg is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Gießen won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Gießen won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Gießen
German Regionalliga Sudwest
31.08.24	Gießen - Hessen Kassel	3:1 ✺
25.08.24	Mainz II - Gießen	3:1 ✺
17.08.24	Gießen - Stuttgarter Kickers	2:2 ✺
10.08.24	Eintracht Trier - Gießen	0:0 ✺
03.08.24	Gießen - Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WLTTT
- FC 08 Homburg
German Regionalliga Sudwest
07.09.24	Homburg - Villingen	6:0 ✺
30.08.24	Homburg - Freiburg II	2:2 ✺
23.08.24	Eintracht Frankfurt II - Homburg	0:1 ✺
17.08.24	Homburg - Hessen Kassel	1:1 ✺
11.08.24	Mainz II - Homburg	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Sudwest
05.04.22	Homburg - Gießen	0:0
16.10.21	Gießen - Homburg	0:2
06.02.21	Homburg - Gießen	1:1
05.09.20	Gießen - Homburg	1:2
30.11.19	Homburg - Gießen	0:0
03.08.19	Gießen - Homburg	0:2

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