Match Info

JAPAN: J3 LEAGUE - ROUND 6

Date: 24 March 2024, Sunday


	Gifu		Grulla Morioka

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.3	4
	1.8	3.4	4	Watch
	1.87	3.45	4.23
	1.88	3.38	4.23
	1.73	3.4	3.9
	1.8	3.36	4.12	Watch
	1.78	3.4	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.65)	3.38 ↓ (3.5)	4.08 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gifu
50.7%

Draw
27%

Grulla Morioka
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

25.3%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

23.6%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gifu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Grulla Morioka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gifu than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gifu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grulla Morioka than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mogi S. (G) 5. Ishida R. 4. Kai K. 29. Nozawa R. 18. Ogawa M. 15. Ueno A. 10. Shoji Y. 21. Aoki T. 8. Araki D. 11. Fujioka K. 17. Taguchi Y.	1. Okubo T. (G) 25. Yamato Y. 4. Fukagawa D. 5. Sako M. 18. Miyaichi T. 8. Yuge T. 17. Niizato R. 13. Kogure D. 22. Nishi D. 23. Toyoda K. 10. Otabor K.
Substitutes
24. Aihara S. 38. Arakaki T. 40. Kawakami R. 7. Kawanami O. 22. Mun In-Ju 16. Nishitani R. 31. Ueda T. (G)	30. Adachi S. 21. Inaba A. (G) 15. Kagami T. 11. Kiri S. 3. Saito R. 19. Sota M. 6. Takahashi S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Fujioka K. ⚽, Taguchi Y. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Toyoda K. ↓, Adachi S. ↑,
58', 2 - 0, Fujioka K. (Pen),
59', Aoki T. ↓, Nishitani R. ↑,
61', Nishi D. 🟨,
65', Taguchi Y. 🟨,
66', Niizato R. ↓, Kagami T. ↑,
66', Miyaichi T. ↓, Kiri S. ↑,
69', 3 - 0, Fujioka K. ⚽,
70', Taguchi Y. ↓, Aihara S. ↑,
70', Ueno A. ↓, Arakaki T. ↑,
73', Otabor K. ↓, Sota M. ↑,
81', 3 - 1, Shoji Y. (Own goal),
81', Shoji Y. 🟨,
87', Fujioka K. ↓, Kawakami R. ↑,
87', Ishida R. ↓, Mun In-Ju ↑,
90+3', Kiri S. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gifu won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Gifu could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Gifu is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Gifu won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Gifu won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Gifu
Japan J3 League
20.03.24	Imabari - Gifu	0:2 ✺
16.03.24	Osaka - Gifu	0:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
13.03.24	Gifu - Omiya Ardija	1:2 ✺
Japan J3 League
10.03.24	Gifu - Kamatamare Sanuki	4:3 ✺
02.03.24	Omiya Ardija - Gifu	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WTLWL
- Grulla Morioka
Japan J3 League
20.03.24	Matsumoto Yamaga - Grulla Morioka	1:0 ✺
17.03.24	Grulla Morioka - Gainare Tottori	1:3 ✺
Japan J League Cup
13.03.24	Grulla Morioka - Tochigi	1:0 ✺
Japan J3 League
02.03.24	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Grulla Morioka	1:1 ✺
25.02.24	Kamatamare Sanuki - Grulla Morioka	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
19.11.23	Grulla Morioka - Gifu	2:1
02.07.23	Gifu - Grulla Morioka	0:0
17.10.21	Gifu - Grulla Morioka	2:2
16.05.21	Grulla Morioka - Gifu	0:2
25.10.20	Grulla Morioka - Gifu	0:4
08.08.20	Gifu - Grulla Morioka	1:1

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