Match Info

J2/J3 League - Round 18

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Gifu Memorial Center Nagaragawa Ball Field (Gifu)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	AbemaTV, DAZN Japan


	Gifu		Omiya Ardija

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.65	3.4	2.2
	2.78	3.45	2.15	Watch
	2.86	3.66	2.19
	2.81	3.92	2.18	Watch
	2.5	3.6	2.25
	2.81	3.54	2.17	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.61)	3.6 ↑ (3.34)	2.19 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gifu
33.2%

Draw
25.3%

Omiya Ardija
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

27.5%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

26.6%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gifu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Omiya Ardija has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gifu than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Omiya Ardija than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Omiya Ardija, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	50%	33.3%

Gifu - Omiya Ardija Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Gifu will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Omiya will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Serantes J. (G) 85. Hakozaki T. 34. Yumine K. 27. Haneda K. 14. Oiji Y. 10. Kita R. 9. Nakamura S. 21. Yokoyama T. 26. Ogushi S. 7. Mun In-Ju 17. Kawamoto R.	24. Glover T. (G) 37. Sekiguchi K. 19. Ozaki Y. 88. Nishio R. 3. Kato H. 15. Nakayama K. 7. Kojima M. 45. Yamamoto O. 8. Kaua Diniz 14. Izumi T. 27. Matsui T.
Substitutes
99. Fabio Azevedo 79. Fujita J. 3. Hagino K. 40. Hirase D. 39. Izumisawa J. 4. Kai K. 66. Kim Yu-Geon 51. Suganuma K. (G) 18. Wade M.	5. Gabriel 20. Hidaka H. 6. Ishikawa T. 17. Kanda T. 1. Kasahara T. (G) 44. Kidera S. 49. McGhee J. 22. Motegi R. 34. Murakami Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Kojima M. ⚽, Sekiguchi K. (A),
33', Kato H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ozaki Y. ↓, Murakami Y. ↑,
53', 0 - 2, Yamamoto O. ⚽,
56', Kaua Diniz ↓, Motegi R. ↑,
56', Matsui T. ↓, Hidaka H. ↑,
58', Yokoyama T. ↓, Fabio Azevedo ↑,
60', Yumine K. 🟨,
67', Yumine K. ↓, Kai K. ↑,
74', Oiji Y. ↓, Izumisawa J. ↑,
83', Sekiguchi K. ↓, Kidera S. ↑,
83', Nakayama K. ↓, Ishikawa T. ↑,
89', Ogushi S. ↓, Wade M. ↑,
90', Izumi T. ↓, McGhee J. ↑,
90+4', Nakamura S. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gifu won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Gifu won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 6:21. (average 0.6:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Gifu won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 0.6:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Gifu - the odds 2.61 are the expected chance of winning is 35.13%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Omiya Ardija - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 37.42%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Gifu
Japan J2 J3 League
16.05.26	Ventforet Kofu - Gifu	2:2 ✺
09.05.26	Nagano Parceiro - Gifu	2:3 ✺
06.05.26	Gifu - Matsumoto Yamaga	0:3 ✺
02.05.26	Gifu - Consadole Sapporo	0:3 ✺
29.04.26	Iwaki - Gifu	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TWLLW
- RB Omiya Ardija
Japan J2 J3 League
17.05.26	Omiya Ardija - Nagano Parceiro	1:2 ✺
09.05.26	Consadole Sapporo - Omiya Ardija	4:3 ✺
06.05.26	Omiya Ardija - Iwaki	3:2 ✺
03.05.26	Fukushima United - Omiya Ardija	1:2 ✺
29.04.26	Omiya Ardija - Ventforet Kofu	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 J3 League
04.04.26	Omiya Ardija - Gifu	3:0
Japan J3 League
16.11.24	Gifu - Omiya Ardija	2:2
Japan J League Cup
13.03.24	Gifu - Omiya Ardija	1:2
Japan J3 League
02.03.24	Omiya Ardija - Gifu	1:0
Japan J2 League
31.07.19	Gifu - Omiya Ardija	0:0
15.06.19	Omiya Ardija - Gifu	2:1
01.09.18	Gifu - Omiya Ardija	0:1

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