Match Info

JAPAN: J3 LEAGUE - ROUND 5

Date: 20 March 2024, Wednesday

Location: Sunpro Alwin (Matsumoto)


	Matsumoto Yamaga		Grulla Morioka

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.5	4.2
	1.72	3.6	4.2	Watch
	1.78	3.68	4.73
	1.74	3.68	4.73
	1.65	3.5	4.2
	1.68	3.6	4.51	Watch
	1.68	3.6	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (2.06)	3.59 ↑ (3.2)	4.42 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matsumoto Yamaga
53.8%

Draw
25.5%

Grulla Morioka
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

28%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matsumoto Yamaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matsumoto Yamaga's performance.

Grulla Morioka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Grulla Morioka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Kanda S. (G) 7. Mawatari K. 4. Takahashi S. 5. Tokida M. 17. Yamamoto R. 46. Yasunaga R. 15. Yamamoto K. 14. Ando T. 10. Kikui Y. 23. Taki Y. 11. Asakawa H.	1. Okubo T. (G) 3. Saito R. 51. Fukatsu K. 5. Sako M. 13. Kogure D. 8. Yuge T. 17. Niizato R. 6. Takahashi S. 30. Adachi S. 23. Toyoda K. 7. Fukahori S.
Substitutes
40. Higuchi D. 41. Murakoshi K. 44. Nonomura T. 1. Ouchi I. (G) 22. Saso K. 8. Sumida S. 6. Yamaguchi K.	21. Inaba A. (G) 77. Komatsu K. 18. Miyaichi T. 29. Mizuno K. 10. Otabor K. 9. Tokura K. 25. Yamato Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Fukahori S. ↓, Otabor K. ↑,
39', Asakawa H. ↓, Saso K. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Toyoda K. ↓, Komatsu K. ↑,
55', Ando T. ⚽,
79', Takahashi S. ↓, Mizuno K. ↑,
79', Kogure D. ↓, Miyaichi T. ↑,
84', Yasunaga R. ↓, Nonomura T. ↑,
84', Ando T. ↓, Murakoshi K. ↑,
84', Mawatari K. ↓, Higuchi D. ↑,

Preview

Recent matches Matsumoto Yamaga is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Grulla Morioka could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Matsumoto Yamaga is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Matsumoto Yamaga won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Matsumoto Yamaga won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matsumoto Yamaga
Japan J3 League
17.03.24	Fukushima United - Matsumoto Yamaga	1:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
13.03.24	Matsumoto Yamaga - Renofa Yamaguchi	4:3 penalties ✺
Japan J3 League
09.03.24	Matsumoto Yamaga - YSCC	1:1 ✺
02.03.24	Ryūkyū - Matsumoto Yamaga	2:2 ✺
25.02.24	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Matsumoto Yamaga	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWTTW
- Grulla Morioka
Japan J3 League
17.03.24	Grulla Morioka - Gainare Tottori	1:3 ✺
Japan J League Cup
13.03.24	Grulla Morioka - Tochigi	1:0 ✺
Japan J3 League
02.03.24	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Grulla Morioka	1:1 ✺
25.02.24	Kamatamare Sanuki - Grulla Morioka	1:1 ✺
02.12.23	Grulla Morioka - Kamatamare Sanuki	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
08.10.23	Matsumoto Yamaga - Grulla Morioka	1:4
24.06.23	Grulla Morioka - Matsumoto Yamaga	1:0

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