Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 16

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	Gijón Industrial		Mosconia

	1	X	2
	5	3.4	1.58
	5.15	3.5	1.6
	5.67	3.72	1.56	Watch
	5	3.3	1.62
	5.54	3.52	1.57
	5.66	3.5	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.34 ↓ (5.63)	3.49 ↓ (3.67)	1.58 ↑ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gijón Industrial
17%

Draw
25.9%

Mosconia
57.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.1%

24.8%

59.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.7%

24.2%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gijón Industrial has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Mosconia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gijón Industrial than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mosconia than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Gijón Industrial - Mosconia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', 0 - 1, ⚽,
82', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: )).

Recent form of Gijón Industrial has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Mosconia is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Mosconia is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gijón Industrial won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Gijón Industrial won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Mosconia	5	3	2	0	8:1	7	11
9	Gijon Industrial	5	2	1	2	8:6	2	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Gijón Industrial
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
21.12.25	Ceares - Gijón Industrial	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Gijón Industrial - Caudal Deportivo	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Club Siero - Gijón Industrial	2:0 ✺
23.11.25	Gijón Industrial - Navarro	0:2 ✺
16.11.25	Tuilla - Gijón Industrial	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LTLLW
- CD Mosconia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
21.12.25	Mosconia - Praviano	2:0 ✺
14.12.25	Lenense - Mosconia	0:2 ✺
07.12.25	Mosconia - San Martín	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Covadonga - Mosconia	1:0 ✺
16.11.25	Mosconia - Avilés Stadium	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
20.02.22	Gijón Industrial - Mosconia	2:1
09.10.21	Mosconia - Gijón Industrial	0:1
07.03.21	Mosconia - Gijón Industrial	0:3
13.12.20	Gijón Industrial - Mosconia	1:2
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
07.01.18	Mosconia - Gijón Industrial	2:1

Gijón Industrial - Mosconia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide