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Current Win Probability
Gijón Industrial 17.4%
Draw 23.8%
Covadonga 58.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
19.3%
25.5%
55.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18.1%
23.9%
58.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gijón Industrial has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
Covadonga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gijón Industrial than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Covadonga than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Gijón Industrial - Covadonga Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 🟥,
18', 0 - 1, Fernandez N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
78', 0 - 2, Trabanco A. ⚽,
90', 🟥,
Preview
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 8th and 2nd in the Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gijón Industrial won 0.
In recent outings, Gijón Industrial has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Covadonga is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Covadonga could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Covadonga has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Covadonga carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Gijón Industrial has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:28 (averaging 0.7:3.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Gijón Industrial against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 3:9 goals (averaging 0.8:2.3 per game).
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