Match Info

K League 1 - Round 22

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Gimcheon Stadium (Gimcheon)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
South-korea	Coupang Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Gimcheon Sangmu		FC Seoul

	1	X	2
	3.10	3.40	2.10	Watch
	3.40	3.40	2.05	Watch
	3.65	3.45	1.81
	3.66	3.55	2.17
	3.84	3.6	1.9	Watch
	3.40	3.50	2.12
	3.39	3.53	2.11	Watch
	3.30	3.40	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↓ (3.81)	3.48 ↓ (3.53)	2.04 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimcheon Sangmu
27.1%

Draw
27%

FC Seoul
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.3%

26.2%

49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3%

26.2%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimcheon Sangmu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

FC Seoul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimcheon Sangmu than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Seoul than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Gimcheon Sangmu - FC Seoul Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Gimcheon Sangmu will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Seoul will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Seoul: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Baek Jong-beom (G) 11. Kim Tae-Hwan 45. Byeon Jun-Soo 26. Lee Jung-Taek (C) 3. Park Cheol-Woo 56. Lee K. 55. Park T. 7. Go Jae-Hyeon 14. Park Se-Jin 48. Hong Yun-Sang 9. Lee G.	25. Gu Sung-Yun (G) 66. Park Soo-Il 5. Al Arab Y. 37. Ros J. 22. Kim Jin-Su (C) 7. Jeong Seung-Won 42. Son J. 6. Babec H. 34. Song Min-Kyu 10. Anderson Oliveira 18. Cho Young-Wook
Substitutes
42. Hong Si-Hoo 10. Jeon Byung-Kwan 57. Jung Jae-Min 21. Kim In-Gyun 17. Kim Joo-Chan 8. Kim Yi-Seok 6. Lee Soo-Bin 15. Lim Dug-Keun 37. Moon Hyeon-Ho (G)	41. Hwang Do-Yun 14. Jeong Hyeon-Woo 31. Kang Hyeon-Mu (G) 9. Klimala P. 20. Lee Han-Do 8. Lee Seung-Mo 27. Moon Seon-Min 88. Park Jang Han-Gyeol 40. Park Seong-hun
Coaches
Joo S.	Kim Gi-Dong

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Park Se-Jin ↓, Kim Yi-Seok ↑,
58', Son J. ↓, Lee Seung-Mo ↑,
58', Song Min-Kyu ↓, Klimala P. ↑,
66', Cho Young-Wook ↓, Moon Seon-Min ↑,
69', Hong Yun-Sang ↓, Kim In-Gyun ↑,
76', Park Cheol-Woo 🟨,
81', Park T. ↓, Lee Soo-Bin ↑,
81', Go Jae-Hyeon ↓, Jeon Byung-Kwan ↑,
82', Kim Jin-Su 🟨,
90+3', Lee G. ↓, Jung Jae-Min ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimcheon Sangmu won 3.

Gimcheon Sangmu is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Seoul's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Seoul might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gimcheon Sangmu won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 27:30. (average 1.4:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Gimcheon Sangmu won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.3:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Seoul ✔	31	20	5	6	58:26	32	65
10	Gimcheon Sangmu ✔	31	5	18	8	30:37	-7	33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimcheon Sangmu FC
South Korean K-League 1
01.08.26	Pohang Steelers - Gimcheon Sangmu	0:1 ✺
South Korean Cup
29.07.26	Gimcheon Sangmu - Suwon	2:1 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
25.07.26	Gimcheon Sangmu - Daejeon Citizen	3:2 ✺
22.07.26	Gwangju - Gimcheon Sangmu	1:1 ✺
18.07.26	Gangwon - Gimcheon Sangmu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWWTL
- FC Seoul
South Korean K-League 1
01.08.26	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - FC Seoul	0:0 ✺
South Korean Cup
29.07.26	Busan I Park - FC Seoul	2:0 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
26.07.26	FC Seoul - Ulsan HD	1:3 ✺
22.07.26	FC Seoul - Pohang Steelers	3:1 ✺
19.07.26	Bucheon - FC Seoul	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
02.05.26	FC Seoul - Gimcheon Sangmu	2:3
22.11.25	FC Seoul - Gimcheon Sangmu	1:3
17.08.25	Gimcheon Sangmu - FC Seoul	5:2
28.05.25	Gimcheon Sangmu - FC Seoul	0:1
03.03.25	FC Seoul - Gimcheon Sangmu	0:0
23.11.24	Gimcheon Sangmu - FC Seoul	1:3
21.07.24	FC Seoul - Gimcheon Sangmu	1:0

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