Match Info

K League 1 - Round 19

Date: 22 July 2026, Wednesday

Location: Gwangju Football Stadium (Gwangju)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
South-korea	Coupang Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	K League TV


	Gwangju		Gimcheon Sangmu

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.2	2.1	Watch
	4.00	3.30	1.93
	3.3	3.15	2.1
	3.74	3.31	2.25
	3.61	3.21	2.1	Watch
	3.65	3.25	2.13
	3.38	3.34	2.19	Watch
	3.35	3.2	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.54 ↓ (4.3)	3.25 ↓ (3.35)	2.12 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Gwangju
26.6%

Draw
29%

Gimcheon Sangmu
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.9%

26.8%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gwangju has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gwangju's performance.

Gimcheon Sangmu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gimcheon Sangmu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.6%	11.8%	70.6%

Gwangju - Gimcheon Sangmu Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Gwangju will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). Gimcheon Sangmu will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gimcheon Sangmu: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kim Kyeong-min (G) 33. Park Won-Jae 4. van Grunsven T. 6. Ahn Young-Kyu (C) 17. Joao Pedro 14. Yu Je-Ho 7. Saitoski E. 10. Choi Kyoung-Rok 88. Moon Min-seo 9. Ha Seung-Un 18. Iredale J.	1. Baek Jong-beom (G) 11. Kim Tae-Hwan 45. Byeon Jun-Soo 15. Lim Dug-Keun (C) 33. Park Jin-Seong 7. Go Jae-Hyeon 55. Park T. 56. Lee K. 48. Hong Yun-Sang 14. Park Se-Jin 57. Jung Jae-Min
Substitutes
50. Ba Loua A. 20. Im Seung-Kyum 2. Jang Seok-Hwan 16. Joung Ji-hun 8. Ju Se-Jong 23. Kim Dong-Hwa (G) 22. Kwon Sung-Yun 37. Ri Yong-jik 40. Shin Chang-Moo	46. Chung M. 42. Hong Si-Hoo 10. Jeon Byung-Kwan 21. Kim In-Gyun 8. Kim Yi-Seok 20. Lee Chan-Wook 9. Lee G. 47. Lee Sang-Heon 37. Moon Hyeon-Ho (G)
Coaches
Lee J.	Joo S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Iredale J. ⚽, Moon Min-seo (A),
7', 1 - 1, Go Jae-Hyeon ⚽, Jung Jae-Min (A),
38', Saitoski E. ↓, Ba Loua A. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ahn Young-Kyu ↓, Jang Seok-Hwan ↑,
46', Park Won-Jae ↓, Kwon Sung-Yun ↑,
46', Jung Jae-Min ↓, Lee G. ↑,
60', Park Se-Jin ↓, Lee Sang-Heon ↑,
60', Park T. ↓, Kim Yi-Seok ↑,
69', Ha Seung-Un ↓, Joung Ji-hun ↑,
72', Hong Yun-Sang ↓, Kim In-Gyun ↑,
79', Choi Kyoung-Rok ↓, Ju Se-Jong ↑,
82', Lee K. ↓, Lee Chan-Wook ↑,
85', Kwon Sung-Yun 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 12 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: ) and 11 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gwangju won 1.

Gwangju may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Gimcheon Sangmu is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gwangju won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 0.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Gwangju won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 0.7:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Gimcheon Sangmu ✔	31	5	18	8	30:37	-7	33
12	Gwangju FC ✔	31	2	12	17	25:66	-41	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gwangju FC
South Korean K-League 1
19.07.26	Anyang - Gwangju	1:1 ✺
11.07.26	Gwangju - Pohang Steelers	0:3 ✺
05.07.26	Gwangju - Ulsan HD	1:1 ✺
16.05.26	Incheon United - Gwangju	4:0 ✺
12.05.26	Gwangju - FC Seoul	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TLTLL
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC
South Korean K-League 1
18.07.26	Gangwon - Gimcheon Sangmu	2:0 ✺
11.07.26	Gimcheon Sangmu - Bucheon	1:1 ✺
05.07.26	Gimcheon Sangmu - Jeju	1:1 ✺
17.05.26	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Gimcheon Sangmu	1:0 ✺
13.05.26	Anyang - Gimcheon Sangmu	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTTLT

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
17.03.26	Gimcheon Sangmu - Gwangju	1:1
22.07.25	Gwangju - Gimcheon Sangmu	1:1
05.05.25	Gwangju - Gimcheon Sangmu	1:0
16.03.25	Gimcheon Sangmu - Gwangju	0:0
28.09.24	Gimcheon Sangmu - Gwangju	2:0
15.06.24	Gwangju - Gimcheon Sangmu	2:0
06.04.24	Gimcheon Sangmu - Gwangju	2:1

Upcoming Matches