Match Info

K League 1 - Round 20

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Gimcheon Stadium (Gimcheon)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Finland	Veikkaus TV
South-korea	Coupang Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	K League TV


	Gimcheon Sangmu		Daejeon Citizen

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.25	2.45	Watch
	3.00	3.25	2.30
	2.75	3.20	2.28
	3.09	3.36	2.48
	2.95	3.41	2.32	Watch
	3.00	3.25	2.45
	2.90	3.28	2.40	Watch
	2.85	3.25	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↑ (2.83)	3.28 ↓ (3.33)	2.38 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimcheon Sangmu
32.2%

Draw
28.5%

Daejeon Citizen
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

28.1%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimcheon Sangmu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Daejeon Citizen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Gimcheon Sangmu - Daejeon Citizen Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Gimcheon Sangmu will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Daejeon Citizen will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Baek Jong-beom (G) 42. Hong Si-Hoo 45. Byeon Jun-Soo 26. Lee Jung-Taek (C) 33. Park Jin-Seong 10. Jeon Byung-Kwan 55. Park T. 56. Lee K. 48. Hong Yun-Sang 14. Park Se-Jin 9. Lee G.	1. Lee Chang-Geun (G) 13. Kim Jin-Ya 45. Ha Chang-Rae (C) 4. Cho Sung-Gwon 16. Lee Myung-Jae 27. Jeong Jae-Hee 30. Kim Bong-Soo 20. Lee H. 17. Ludwigson G. 9. Diogo Oliveira 19. Seo Jin-Su
Substitutes
46. Chung M. 7. Go Jae-Hyeon 57. Jung Jae-Min 21. Kim In-Gyun 11. Kim Tae-Hwan 8. Kim Yi-Seok 47. Lee Sang-Heon 15. Lim Dug-Keun 37. Moon Hyeon-Ho (G)	7. Ishida M. 10. Joo Min-Kyu 6. Kang Yun-Sung 31. Kim Min-Soo (G) 33. Kim Moon-Hwan 98. Krivotsyuk A. 44. Lee Soon-Min 41. Park Byung-chan 11. Um Won-Sang
Coaches
Joo S.	Hwang Sun-Hong

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Cho Sung-Gwon ⚽, Jeong Jae-Hee (A),
34', 1 - 1, Lee G. ⚽, Hong Yun-Sang (A),
42', 2 - 1, Hong Yun-Sang ⚽, Park Se-Jin (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Diogo Oliveira ↓, Joo Min-Kyu ↑,
46', Kim Jin-Ya ↓, Kim Moon-Hwan ↑,
46', Park Jin-Seong ↓, Kim Tae-Hwan ↑,
46', Jeong Jae-Hee ↓, Um Won-Sang ↑,
49', Lee H. 🟨,
58', Park Se-Jin ↓, Kim Yi-Seok ↑,
58', Jeon Byung-Kwan ↓, Go Jae-Hyeon ↑,
59', Ha Chang-Rae ↓, Krivotsyuk A. ↑,
72', Ludwigson G. ↓, Ishida M. ↑,
73', Hong Yun-Sang ↓, Kim In-Gyun ↑,
74', Lee K. 🟨,
81', Lee Jung-Taek ↓, Lim Dug-Keun ↑,
82', Kim Tae-Hwan 🟨,
87', 2 - 2, Ishida M. ⚽, Kim Moon-Hwan (A),
90+4', 3 - 2, Kim Yi-Seok ⚽, Go Jae-Hyeon (A),

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 11 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimcheon Sangmu won 0.

Daejeon Citizen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Gimcheon Sangmu won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:22. (average 1.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Gimcheon Sangmu won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 0.9:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Daejeon	31	11	10	10	48:38	10	43
10	Gimcheon Sangmu ✔	31	5	18	8	30:37	-7	33

Last Results with these Odds

Gimcheon Sangmu - the odds 2.83 are the expected chance of winning is 33.01%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Daejeon Citizen - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 38.93%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimcheon Sangmu FC
South Korean K-League 1
22.07.26	Gwangju - Gimcheon Sangmu	1:1 ✺
18.07.26	Gangwon - Gimcheon Sangmu	2:0 ✺
11.07.26	Gimcheon Sangmu - Bucheon	1:1 ✺
05.07.26	Gimcheon Sangmu - Jeju	1:1 ✺
17.05.26	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Gimcheon Sangmu	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLTTL
- Daejeon Citizen
South Korean K-League 1
21.07.26	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Daejeon Citizen	0:0 ✺
18.07.26	Daejeon Citizen - Ulsan HD	2:2 ✺
12.07.26	Jeju - Daejeon Citizen	0:0 ✺
04.07.26	Daejeon Citizen - Bucheon	2:2 ✺
16.05.26	Daejeon Citizen - FC Seoul	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TTTTL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
14.03.26	Daejeon Citizen - Gimcheon Sangmu	1:1
30.11.25	Gimcheon Sangmu - Daejeon Citizen	0:3
31.08.25	Daejeon Citizen - Gimcheon Sangmu	2:1
18.06.25	Daejeon Citizen - Gimcheon Sangmu	0:0
19.04.25	Gimcheon Sangmu - Daejeon Citizen	0:2
25.08.24	Gimcheon Sangmu - Daejeon Citizen	2:2
25.06.24	Gimcheon Sangmu - Daejeon Citizen	2:0

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