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Current Win Probability
Pohang Steelers 34.5%
Draw 29.6%
Gimcheon Sangmu 35.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.5%
29.1%
37.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.7%
28.1%
36%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pohang Steelers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
Gimcheon Sangmu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pohang Steelers than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimcheon Sangmu than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
55.6%
11.1%
Pohang Steelers - Gimcheon Sangmu Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Pohang will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Gimcheon Sangmu will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Gimcheon Sangmu (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gimcheon Sangmu (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
29. Hong Sung-min (G) 17. Shin Kwang-Hoon 20. Park Chan-Yong 4. Jeon Min-kwang (C) 77. Wanderson 31. Nishiya K. 8. Kim Seung-Ho 16. Kim Dong-Jin 70. Hwang Seo-Woong 7. Won Ki-Jong 25. Jorge Teixeira
41. Park M. (G) 42. Hong Si-Hoo 45. Byeon Jun-Soo 26. Lee Jung-Taek (C) 3. Park Cheol-Woo 7. Go Jae-Hyeon 6. Lee Soo-Bin 55. Park T. 48. Hong Yun-Sang 47. Lee Sang-Heon 9. Lee G.
Substitutes
9. An J. 18. Cho Sang-Hyeok 11. da Rocha Junior J. 2. Eo Jeong-Won 5. Jin Si-woo 37. Jung Han-Min 3. Kim Ye-Sung 14. Lee Chang-Woo 1. Yun Pyeong-Guk (G)
51. Ahn Jun-Su (G) 57. Jung Jae-Min 21. Kim In-Gyun 17. Kim Joo-Chan 5. Kim Min-Kyu 11. Kim Tae-Hwan 8. Kim Yi-Seok 56. Lee K. 14. Park Se-Jin
Coaches
Park Tae-Ha
Joo S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Lee Jung-Taek 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Shin Kwang-Hoon ↓, Eo Jeong-Won ↑,
57', Nishiya K. ↓, da Rocha Junior J. ↑,
58', Lee Jung-Taek 🟨,
60', Lee Sang-Heon ↓, Kim Min-Kyu ↑,
70', Kim Min-Kyu 🟨,
74', Won Ki-Jong ↓, An J. ↑,
74', Hwang Seo-Woong ↓, Cho Sang-Hyeok ↑,
75', Park T. ↓, Lee K. ↑,
75', Byeon Jun-Soo ↓, Kim Tae-Hwan ↑,
75', Lee Soo-Bin ↓, Kim Yi-Seok ↑,
84', Hong Yun-Sang ↓, Kim In-Gyun ↑,
90+6', Jeon Min-kwang 🟨,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: ) and 11 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pohang won 1.
Pohang has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Gimcheon Sangmu's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Pohang may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Pohang has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pohang won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 26:32. (average 1.3:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Pohang won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.2:1.7).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
9
Pohang
31
11
7
13
28:37
-9
40
10
Gimcheon Sangmu ✔
31
5
18
8
30:37
-7
33
Last Results with these Odds
Pohang Steelers - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 33.53%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.
Gimcheon Sangmu - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 37.34%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.