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Current Win Probability
FC Seoul 66.9%
Draw 19.6%
Gimcheon Sangmu 13.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
58.8%
22.4%
18.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.7%
22.4%
18.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
FC Seoul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in FC Seoul's performance.
Gimcheon Sangmu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gimcheon Sangmu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Seoul than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with FC Seoul that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimcheon Sangmu than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gimcheon Sangmu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
FC Seoul - Gimcheon Sangmu Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Gu Sung-Yun (G) 16. Choi Jun 5. Al Arab Y. 37. Ros J. 22. Kim Jin-Su (C) 7. Jeong Seung-Won 42. Son J. 6. Babec H. 10. Anderson Oliveira 27. Moon Seon-Min 9. Klimala P.
51. Ahn Jun-Su (G) 42. Hong Si-Hoo 45. Byeon Jun-Soo 5. Kim Min-Kyu 33. Park Jin-Seong 54. Yoon Jae-Seok 55. Park T. (C) 56. Lee K. 48. Hong Yun-Sang 47. Lee Sang-Heon 49. Kang M.
Substitutes
26. Baek Jong-beom (G) 19. Cheon Seong-Hoon 18. Cho Young-Wook 41. Hwang Do-Yun 14. Jeong Hyeon-Woo 20. Lee Han-Do 4. Lee Sang-Min 88. Park Jang Han-Gyeol 66. Park Soo-Il
46. Chung M. 57. Jung Jae-Min 50. Kang Ju-Hyeok 21. Kim In-Gyun 65. Lee S. 2. Min Kyeong-Hyeon 41. Park M. (G) 44. Park Min-Seo 53. Roh Kyung-Ho
Coaches
Kim Gi-Dong
Joo S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
22', 1 - 0, Klimala P. ⚽, Jeong Seung-Won (A),
45', Kim Jin-Su 🟨,
45', Hong Si-Hoo ↓, Min Kyeong-Hyeon ↑,
45+1', 1 - 1, Lee Sang-Heon (Penalty Awarded),
45+6', Yoon Jae-Seok 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', Son J. 🟨,
52', 2 - 1, Klimala P. ⚽, Moon Seon-Min (A),
60', Yoon Jae-Seok ↓, Kim In-Gyun ↑,
60', Park Jin-Seong ↓, Park Min-Seo ↑,
66', Ros J. 🟨,
67', 2 - 2, Kim In-Gyun (Penalty Awarded),
68', Son J. ↓, Hwang Do-Yun ↑,
80', Min Kyeong-Hyeon 🟨,
82', Moon Seon-Min ↓, Cho Young-Wook ↑,
90+2', Kang M. ↓, Roh Kyung-Ho ↑,
90+2', Lee Sang-Heon ↓, Jung Jae-Min ↑,
90+4', Hwang Do-Yun 🟨,
Preview
One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 1st in the Promotion - K League 1 (Championship Group: ) and 10th in the K League 1 (Relegation Group: )).
Seoul is Qualified for K League 1 (Championship Group ).
Gimcheon Sangmu is K League 1 (Relegation Group ).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Seoul won 1.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Seoul may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Seoul carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Seoul has recorded 8 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 28:25 (averaging 1.4:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Seoul against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 17:13 goals (averaging 1.7:1.3 per game).
Australia
Austria
Finland
Germany
Hong Kong
Macao
South Korea
International
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Gu Sung-Yun (G) 
Al Arab Y. 
Ros J. 
Babec H. 
Anderson Oliveira 
Klimala P. 
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