Match Info

K League 2 - Round 10

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Gimhae Sports Complex (Gimhae)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	Coupang Play, Maxports
World	K League TV


	Gimhae		Busan I Park

	1	X	2
	5.5	4	1.53	Watch
	5	4	1.5
	5.15	3.9	1.55
	5.88	4.35	1.57
	5.31	4.42	1.54	Watch
	5	3.9	1.53
	5.16	3.9	1.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.29 ↑ (4.34)	4.07 ↑ (3.58)	1.54 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimhae
17.4%

Draw
22.6%

Busan I Park
59.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.5%

26.1%

52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21%

25.5%

53.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimhae has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Busan I Park has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Busan I Park's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimhae than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Busan I Park than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Busan I Park, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Gimhae - Busan I Park Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Busan I Park (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Busan I Park will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
91. Choe Pil-Soo (C) 5. Yeo J. 6. Choi Jun-Yeong 14. Pyo Geon-Hee 3. Lee Seul-Chan 8. Moon S. 27. Lee Jun-Gyu 97. Lee Rae-Jun 17. Lee Y. 99. Fall M. 7. Lee Seung-Jae	1. Koo Sang-Min (G) 5. Woo Ju-Seong 77. Jang Ho-Ik (C) 20. Kim Hee-Seung 21. Kim Dong-Wook 10. Gabriel Honorio 6. Lee Dong-Su 47. Son Hwi 22. Choi Ye-Hoon 8. Kim Min-Hyeok 99. Cristian Renato
Substitutes
10. Bruno Costa 1. Jeong Jin-Wook (G) 2. Kang J. 15. Kim Kyung-Soo 18. Lee M. 9. Mikeltadze B. 22. Park Sang-Jun 30. Seol H. 77. Yun B.	18. Baek Ga-On 80. Gutemberg 19. Hong Uk-Hyeon 17. Jeon Seung-Jin 13. Kim Hyun-Min 4. Kim J. 66. Kim Se-Hoon 34. Park Ji-Min (G) 97. Son J.
Coaches
Son Hyun-jun	Cho S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', Lee Seung-Jae 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, Kim Min-Hyeok ⚽, Woo Ju-Seong (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Choi Ye-Hoon ↓, Kim Hyun-Min ↑,
49', Moon S. ↓, Bruno Costa ↑,
52', Son Hwi 🟨,
70', Lee Y. 🟨,
70', Lee Y. ↓, Mikeltadze B. ↑,
70', Fall M. ↓, Kang J. ↑,
73', Kim Min-Hyeok ↓, Son J. ↑,
73', Woo Ju-Seong ↓, Kim Se-Hoon ↑,
78', 🟨,
81', Cristian Renato ↓, Baek Ga-On ↑,
86', 🟨,
87', Son Hwi 🟨,
87', 🟨,
90', Lee Seul-Chan ↓, Seol H. ↑,
90', Gabriel Honorio ↓, Kim J. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone K League 2 (Relegation) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1).

Gimhae is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Busan I Park is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Gimhae may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Gimhae has had a series of away games.

In this match, Busan I Park is a strong favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Busan	26	12	5	9	41:34	7	41
17	Gimhae	25	2	7	16	19:49	-30	13

Last Results with these Odds

Busan I Park - the odds 1.78 are the expected chance of winning is 52.43%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimhae FC
South Korean K-League 2
26.04.26	Yongin - Gimhae	4:1 ✺
18.04.26	Cheongju - Gimhae	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Chungnam Asan - Gimhae	1:1 ✺
05.04.26	Paju Frontier - Gimhae	3:1 ✺
21.03.26	Gimhae - Suwon Bluewings	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTTLL
- Busan I Park
South Korean K-League 2
25.04.26	Suwon Bluewings - Busan I Park	3:2 ✺
18.04.26	Busan I Park - Suwon	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Busan I Park - Yongin	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	Gyeongnam - Busan I Park	1:2 ✺
29.03.26	Cheongju - Busan I Park	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWWWW

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