Match Info

K3 League - Round 7

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday


	Gimhae		Chuncheon

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.49	3.8	5.5
	1.5	3.9	5.6	Watch
	1.53	3.86	6.56
	1.5	3.84	6.14	Watch
	1.57	4.3	4.98	Watch
	1.5	3.9	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.64)	3.93 ↑ (3.65)	5.73 ↑ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimhae
60.6%

Draw
23.3%

Chuncheon
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

24.9%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

25.7%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimhae has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gimhae's performance.

Chuncheon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimhae than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chuncheon than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Gimhae - Chuncheon Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.75 - Chuncheon (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chuncheon (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Yoo Sun-Woo ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, Lee Jun-Won ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
70', 🟥,
73', 2 - 1, Lee H. T. ⚽,
77', 3 - 1, Yoo Sun-Woo ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 and 9).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Gimhae is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Gimhae won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Gimhae won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimhae FC
South Korean K3 League
26.04.25	Paju Frontier - Gimhae	1:2 ✺
19.04.25	Gangneung - Gimhae	1:1 ✺
South Korean Cup
16.04.25	Daegu - Gimhae	2:0 ✺
South Korean K3 League
05.04.25	Gimhae - Gyeongju KH&NP	1:3 ✺
29.03.25	Gimhae - Daejeon Korail	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WTLLW
- Chuncheon FC
South Korean K3 League
26.04.25	Chuncheon - Daejeon Korail	0:1 ✺
20.04.25	Ulsan Citizen - Chuncheon	1:3 ✺
06.04.25	Chuncheon - Jeonbuk 2	3:1 ✺
30.03.25	Chuncheon - Yangpyeong	1:0 ✺
South Korean Cup
23.03.25	Incheon United - Chuncheon	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
05.10.24	Gimhae - Chuncheon	0:0
07.06.24	Chuncheon - Gimhae	1:1
04.11.23	Chuncheon - Gimhae	1:3
10.06.23	Gimhae - Chuncheon	0:0

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