Match Info

Korean Cup - 1/64-finals

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday


	Ulsan Citizen		Chuncheon

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.3	3	Watch
	2.55	2.90	2.55
	2.12	3.35	3.05
	2.66	3.09	2.63
	2.40	3.12	3.01	Watch
	2.09	3.25	2.95	Watch
	2.23	3.5	3.18	Watch
	2.15	3.4	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.14)	3.24 ↓ (3.36)	2.93 ↓ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ulsan Citizen
40.2%

Draw
28.4%

Chuncheon
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

27.2%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

27.5%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulsan Citizen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Chuncheon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulsan Citizen than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chuncheon than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	60%	20%

Ulsan Citizen - Chuncheon Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ulsan Citizen will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Chuncheon will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ulsan Citizen (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 2 - 0, ⚽,
81', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ulsan Citizen won 2.

Ulsan Citizen has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Chuncheon has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Chuncheon has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ulsan Citizen won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ulsan Citizen won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ulsan Citizen FC
South Korean K3 League
27.06.26	Ulsan Citizen - Mokpo City	4:1 ✺
20.06.26	Dangjin Citizen - Ulsan Citizen	1:1 ✺
06.06.26	Ulsan Citizen - Gangneung	1:2 ✺
30.05.26	Ulsan Citizen - Pocheon	0:1 ✺
23.05.26	Changwon City - Ulsan Citizen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WTLLL
- Chuncheon FC
South Korean K3 League
27.06.26	Chuncheon - Yangpyeong	3:3 ✺
20.06.26	Chuncheon - Siheung	2:3 ✺
06.06.26	Chuncheon - Daejeon Korail	3:3 ✺
30.05.26	Chuncheon - Gyeongju KH&NP	2:2 ✺
23.05.26	Busan Kyotong - Chuncheon	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TLTTW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
05.04.26	Ulsan Citizen - Chuncheon	2:1
17.08.25	Chuncheon - Ulsan Citizen	0:0
20.04.25	Ulsan Citizen - Chuncheon	1:3
17.08.24	Ulsan Citizen - Chuncheon	2:1
20.04.24	Chuncheon - Ulsan Citizen	2:0
15.07.23	Ulsan Citizen - Chuncheon	1:0
02.04.23	Chuncheon - Ulsan Citizen	0:0

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