Match Info

K League 2 - Round 12

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Gimhae Sports Complex (Gimhae)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	Coupang Play
World	K League TV


	Gimhae		Daegu

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.9	1.57	Watch
	4.75	3.95	1.6
	5.25	4.2	1.63
	4.84	4.54	1.57	Watch
	4.6	3.75	1.6
	4.69	4.07	1.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.77 ↓ (5.05)	4.07 ↓ (4.63)	1.6 ↑ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimhae
19.4%

Draw
22.8%

Daegu
57.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.5%

20.1%

61.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.1%

19.7%

62.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimhae has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Daegu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimhae than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daegu than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Gimhae - Daegu Predictions

Users Predictions: Daegu will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
91. Choe Pil-Soo (C) 5. Yeo J. 97. Lee Rae-Jun 6. Choi Jun-Yeong 3. Lee Seul-Chan 10. Bruno Costa 8. Moon S. 14. Pyo Geon-Hee 17. Lee Y. 23. Sung Ho-Yeung 9. Mikeltadze B.	31. Han Tae-Hui (G) 20. Kim Kang-San (C) 50. Kim Hyeong-Jin 26. Hwang In-Taek 2. Hwang Jae-Won 25. Kim Dae-Woo 29. Ryu Jae-Moon 72. Choi Kang-Min 10. Matheus Serafim 16. Dackers M. 77. Kim Ju-Gong
Substitutes
99. Fall M. 1. Jeong Jin-Wook (G) 2. Kang J. 27. Lee Jun-Gyu 18. Lee M. 7. Lee Seung-Jae 22. Park Sang-Jun 30. Seol H. 77. Yun B.	11. Cesinha 9. Edgar 1. Go Dong-Min (G) 30. Han Jong-Mu 27. Jeong Heon-taek 66. Lee Rim 15. Lee Won-Woo 34. Park Gi-Hyun 21. Son Seung-min
Coaches
Son Hyun-jun	Choi S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', Hwang In-Taek 🟨,
25', Dackers M. (Penalty Awarded),
25', 0 - 1, Dackers M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Moon S. ↓, Fall M. ↑,
46', Pyo Geon-Hee ↓, Lee Seung-Jae ↑,
46', Kim Dae-Woo ↓, Cesinha ↑,
54', 1 - 1, Fall M. ⚽,
57', Dackers M. ↓, Edgar ↑,
57', Hwang In-Taek ↓, Lee Won-Woo ↑,
59', Bruno Costa 🟨,
64', Edgar 🟨,
69', Kim Ju-Gong ↓, Han Jong-Mu ↑,
78', Choi Kang-Min ↓, Park Gi-Hyun ↑,
80', 1 - 2, Park Gi-Hyun ⚽,
83', Lee Seul-Chan ↓, Kang J. ↑,
83', Sung Ho-Yeung ↓, Lee M. ↑,
84', 1 - 3, Edgar ⚽,
87', Lee Rae-Jun ↓, Park Sang-Jun ↑,
90+1', 1 - 4, Matheus Serafim ⚽, Han Jong-Mu (A),
90+2', Matheus Serafim 🟨,
90+8', 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone K League 2 (Relegation) and 7).

Gimhae has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Daegu has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Daegu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Gimhae has had a series of away games.

In this match, Daegu is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Gimhae won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Daegu	26	13	7	6	48:35	13	46
17	Gimhae	25	2	7	16	19:49	-30	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimhae FC
South Korean K-League 2
10.05.26	Gyeongnam - Gimhae	2:1 ✺
03.05.26	Gimhae - Busan I Park	0:1 ✺
26.04.26	Yongin - Gimhae	4:1 ✺
18.04.26	Cheongju - Gimhae	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Chungnam Asan - Gimhae	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLLTT
- Daegu FC
South Korean K-League 2
09.05.26	Suwon Bluewings - Daegu	0:0 ✺
03.05.26	Daegu - Gyeongnam	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	Daegu - Cheonan City	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Suwon - Daegu	2:2 ✺
05.04.26	Daegu - Gimpo	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TWLTT

Latest Head to Head

South Korean Cup
16.04.25	Daegu - Gimhae	2:0
26.05.21	Daegu - Gimhae	2:0

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