Match Info

K League 2 - Round 11

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Changwon Football Centre Stadium (Changwon)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	Coupang Play
World	K League TV


	Gyeongnam		Gimhae

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.2	3	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3
	2.18	3.2	3.1
	2.27	3.29	3.43
	2.18	3.33	3.27	Watch
	2.1	3	3.2
	2.12	3.14	3.24	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.2)	3.18 ↓ (3.35)	3.18 ↑ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gyeongnam
42.4%

Draw
28.8%

Gimhae
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

27.9%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

25.7%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gyeongnam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Gimhae has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gyeongnam than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimhae than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Gyeongnam - Gimhae Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Gyeongnam will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Lee Bum-Soo (G) 39. Lucao 22. Kim Hyeong-Won (C) 18. Kim Seon-Ho 24. Yun Il-Lok 2. Bae Hyun-Seo 44. Kim Jung-Hyeon 27. Son Ho-Jun 9. Darnlei 99. Lee Jung-Min 66. Cho Sang-Jun	91. Choe Pil-Soo (C) 5. Yeo J. 97. Lee Rae-Jun 6. Choi Jun-Yeong 3. Lee Seul-Chan 30. Seol H. 27. Lee Jun-Gyu 14. Pyo Geon-Hee 17. Lee Y. 99. Fall M. 7. Lee Seung-Jae
Substitutes
26. Choi Jung-Won 4. Choi Seong-Jin 21. Cho Jin-Hyuk 3. Cho Woo-young 14. Jeon M. 90. Kim Hyeon-oh 10. Mbah C. 1. Shin Jun-Seo (G) 7. Won Ki-Jong	13. Cho Young-Kwang 1. Jeong Jin-Wook (G) 2. Kang J. 15. Kim Kyung-Soo 18. Lee M. 9. Mikeltadze B. 24. Myeong Se-Jin 22. Park Sang-Jun 77. Yun B.
Coaches
Bae Sung-jae .	Son Hyun-jun

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', Bae Hyun-Seo 🟨,
13', 1 - 0, Darnlei (Penalty Awarded),
21', Lee Seul-Chan 🟨,
36', Yun Il-Lok 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Lee Seul-Chan ↓, Kang J. ↑,
46', Lee Y. ↓, Cho Young-Kwang ↑,
62', Lee Jun-Gyu ↓, Mikeltadze B. ↑,
63', Lucao 🟨,
69', 2 - 0, Darnlei (Penalty Awarded),
74', Cho Sang-Jun ↓, Cho Jin-Hyuk ↑,
74', Lee Jung-Min ↓, Won Ki-Jong ↑,
74', Kim Seon-Ho ↓, Cho Woo-young ↑,
76', Cho Young-Kwang ↓, Lee M. ↑,
76', Seol H. ↓, Park Sang-Jun ↑,
82', Bae Hyun-Seo ↓, Choi Jung-Won ↑,
84', 2 - 1, Lee Rae-Jun ⚽, Lee M. (A),
85', Son Ho-Jun ↓, Jeon M. ↑,
90+1', Lee Bum-Soo 🟨,
90+2', Cho Woo-young 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 17 in the zone K League 2 (Relegation)).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Gimhae may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Gimhae has had a series of away games.

Gyeongnam will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Gyeongnam	25	8	10	7	31:30	1	34
17	Gimhae	25	2	7	16	19:49	-30	13

Last Results with these Odds

Gyeongnam - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 42.5%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gyeongnam FC
South Korean K-League 2
03.05.26	Daegu - Gyeongnam	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Paju Frontier - Gyeongnam	2:3 ✺
18.04.26	Gyeongnam - Suwon Bluewings	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Gyeongnam - Busan I Park	1:2 ✺
28.03.26	Ansan Greeners - Gyeongnam	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWLLT
- Gimhae FC
South Korean K-League 2
03.05.26	Gimhae - Busan I Park	0:1 ✺
26.04.26	Yongin - Gimhae	4:1 ✺
18.04.26	Cheongju - Gimhae	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Chungnam Asan - Gimhae	1:1 ✺
05.04.26	Paju Frontier - Gimhae	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLTTL

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