Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 27

Date: 10 March 2024, Sunday


	Gimnástic de Tarragona		Deportivo A Coruña

	1	X	2
	3	2.63	2.45
	3	2.7	2.37
	3	2.9	2.5	Watch
	3.26	2.77	2.58
	3.26	2.76	2.58
	3.13	2.91	2.41
	3.05	2.75	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↑ (2.4)	2.77 ↓ (3)	2.48 ↓ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnástic de Tarragona
29.7%

Draw
33.2%

Deportivo A Coruña
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

30.5%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

31.1%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnástic de Tarragona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gimnástic de Tarragona's form might have worsened.

Deportivo A Coruña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo A Coruña's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástic de Tarragona than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gimnástic de Tarragona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo A Coruña than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo A Coruña, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	75%	25%

Gimnástic de Tarragona - Deportivo A Coruña Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Deportivo will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Varo A. (G) 4. Domingo Ciuraneta P. 2. Trigueros P. 3. Nacho Gonzalez 21. Oriol J. 14. Sanz O. 18. Martinez B. 11. Fernandez M. 10. Escudero A. 15. Mula A. 17. Fernandez P.	13. Parreno G. (G) 23. Navarro X. 15. Vazquez P. 4. Martinez P. 18. Balenziaga M. 3. Mella D. 20. Jurado J. 8. Villares D. 10. Hernandez Y. 7. Perez L. 9. Barbero I.
Substitutes
5. Dufur U. 24. Garcia A. (G) 29. Godoy A. 28. Hallebeek B. 8. Montalvo M. 12. Ortega I. 1. Parra Bove D. (G) 16. Pochettino M. 19. Rodriguez M. 9. Santamaria G. 20. Tirlea A.	22. Adot Barandiaran P. A. 5. Barcia D. 11. Davo 2. lano Imbene 35. Lopez R. 1. Puerto E. (G) 16. Quintero L. 17. Rama H. 12. Raul A. 19. Sanchez J. 24. Sanchez Vivas A. (G) 6. Sevilla S.

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2).

Gimnàstic is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Deportivo is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Deportivo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Gimnàstic won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Gimnàstic won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnástic de Tarragona
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
02.03.24	Arenteiro - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:1 ✺
25.02.24	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Teruel	0:2 ✺
18.02.24	Sestao - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:1 ✺
10.02.24	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Real Unión de Irun	2:1 ✺
04.02.24	Real Sociedad B - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLTWW
- Deportivo A Coruña
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
03.03.24	Deportivo A Coruña - Lugo	4:1 ✺
25.02.24	Osasuna B - Deportivo A Coruña	0:4 ✺
18.02.24	Deportivo A Coruña - Tarazona	4:1 ✺
10.02.24	SD Logroñés - Deportivo A Coruña	0:5 ✺
04.02.24	Deportivo A Coruña - Fuenlabrada	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
29.10.23	Deportivo A Coruña - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:0
Spanish LaLiga2
16.02.19	Deportivo A Coruña - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:1
30.09.18	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Deportivo A Coruña	1:3
23.05.12	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Deportivo A Coruña	1:2

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