Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 34

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Nou Estadi de Tarragona (Tarragona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Gimnástic de Tarragona		Real Unión de Irun

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.4	5
	1.57	3.6	5
	1.59	3.75	5.4
	1.66	3.7	5.64
	1.53	3.87	5.64	Watch
	1.59	3.74	5.38
	1.59	3.75	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.78)	3.69 ↑ (3.46)	5.35 ↑ (4.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnástic de Tarragona
57.8%

Draw
25%

Real Unión de Irun
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

26.6%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

26%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnástic de Tarragona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gimnástic de Tarragona's performance.

Real Unión de Irun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnástic de Tarragona than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Unión de Irun than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Gimnástic de Tarragona - Real Unión de Irun Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Rebollo D. (G) 20. Miguel 14. Sanz O. 3. Perez G. 21. Oriol J. (C) 8. Montalvo M. 6. Gorostidi A. 23. Concha D. 17. Fernandez P. 22. Narro V. 9. Antonin	13. Wright J. (G) 2. Santos S. 6. Quintana A. 4. Olaortua I. 3. Marquez J. 22. Garrido D. 16. Vidorreta A. 10. Rivero Q. (C) 7. Aranzabe A. 11. Obieta K. 20. Sergio Benito
Substitutes
5. Dufur U. 11. Fernandez M. 38. Gutierrez A. 10. Jardi J. 18. Jimenez A. 7. Junca D. . Oriol 34. Peiri A. C. 37. Pujol E. 19. Torres R. 1. Varo A. (G)	17. Cayarga B. 5. Dominguez J. 19. Eimil V. 28. Labaka A. 26. Perez C. (G) 21. San Bartolome V. 1. Txusta (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Oriol J. (Pen),
15', 1 - 1, Garrido D. ⚽,
39', Santos S. ↓, Eimil V. ↑,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
56', 2 - 1, Fernandez P. ⚽, Miguel (A),
58', Concha D. ↓, Torres R. ↑,
62', 3 - 1, Miguel ⚽,
67', Quintana A. 🟥,
68', Obieta K. ↓, Dominguez J. ↑,
71', Narro V. ↓, Jardi J. ↑,
71', Antonin ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
74', 4 - 1, Fernandez P. ⚽, Fernandez M. (A),
80', Oriol J. ↓, Junca D. ↑,
80', Fernandez P. ↓, Jimenez A. ↑,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 16 in the zone Relegation).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Gimnàstic could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Gimnàstic is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gimnàstic won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:6 (average 1.2:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Gimnàstic won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnástic de Tarragona
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
20.04.25	Leonesa - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:1 ✺
12.04.25	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Unionistas de Salamanca	4:0 ✺
05.04.25	Sestao - Gimnástic de Tarragona	3:2 ✺
30.03.25	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Ponferradina	5:1 ✺
22.03.25	Zamora - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWLWT
- Real Unión de Irun
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
20.04.25	Real Unión de Irun - Barcelona B	1:3 ✺
13.04.25	Real Unión de Irun - Lugo	3:0 ✺
06.04.25	Ponferradina - Real Unión de Irun	3:1 ✺
28.03.25	Real Unión de Irun - FC Andorra	0:0 ✺
22.03.25	Leonesa - Real Unión de Irun	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
26.10.24	Real Unión de Irun - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:0
10.02.24	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Real Unión de Irun	2:1
18.11.23	Real Unión de Irun - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:1
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
30.04.23	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Real Unión de Irun	0:1
27.11.22	Real Unión de Irun - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:3

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