Match Info

Date: 22 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Nou Estadi de Tarragona (Tarragona)


	Gimnástic de Tarragona		Numancia

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.7	3.3
	2.3	2.9	2.85
	2.4	2.95	2.8
	2.33	2.95	2.95
	2.5	2.99	3.1
	2.36	3.02	2.96
	2.4	3	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.32)	2.93 ↑ (2.88)	3 ↓ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnástic de Tarragona
38.6%

Draw
31.1%

Numancia
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

31.9%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

32.6%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnástic de Tarragona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Numancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástic de Tarragona than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Gimnástic de Tarragona - Numancia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 14 and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gimnàstic won 3.

Recent matches Gimnàstic is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Numancia is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Gimnàstic won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Gimnàstic won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnástic de Tarragona
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
15.10.22	Real Sociedad B - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:0 ✺
09.10.22	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Real Murcia	3:2 ✺
02.10.22	Eldense - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:1 ✺
25.09.22	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Amorebieta	1:0 ✺
17.09.22	Calahorra - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWLWT
- CD Numancia
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
16.10.22	Calahorra - Numancia	0:0 ✺
08.10.22	Numancia - Real Sociedad B	1:0 ✺
02.10.22	Amorebieta - Numancia	1:2 ✺
25.09.22	Numancia - La Nucía	2:0 ✺
17.09.22	Real Murcia - Numancia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
07.04.19	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Numancia	2:0
02.12.18	Numancia - Gimnástic de Tarragona	3:0
21.04.18	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Numancia	0:0
19.11.17	Numancia - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:2
18.02.17	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Numancia	2:0
17.09.16	Numancia - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:0
Spanish Copa del Rey
07.09.16	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Numancia	1:0 ET

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