Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 17

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio La Albuera (Segovia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	WebDirecto


	Gimnástica Segoviana		Lealtad

	1	X	2
	1.44	3.9	6.25
	1.41	3.85	7.1
	1.46	3.85	6.93	Watch
	1.42	3.75	7.75
	1.47	3.75	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.43)	3.82 ↓ (3.85)	7.01 ↑ (7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnástica Segoviana
63.2%

Draw
23.8%

Lealtad
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.4%

23.6%

13%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

22.3%

12.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnástica Segoviana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

The chances for Lealtad have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástica Segoviana than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lealtad than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Gimnástica Segoviana - Lealtad Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Tenas M. ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 2 - 1, Llorente F. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 17 in the zone Relegation).

G Segoviana has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Lealtad has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

G Segoviana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, G Segoviana is the undisputed favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnástica Segoviana
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
21.12.25	Real Oviedo B - Gimnástica Segoviana	3:0 ✺
14.12.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - UD Ourense	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Bergantiños - Gimnástica Segoviana	3:1 ✺
30.11.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Atlético Astorga	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Deportivo A Coruña B - Gimnástica Segoviana	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWLTW
- CD Lealtad
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
20.12.25	Lealtad - Salamanca	0:1 ✺
14.12.25	Lealtad - Bergantiños	0:1 ✺
06.12.25	Real Oviedo B - Lealtad	1:2 ✺
29.11.25	Lealtad - UD Ourense	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Langreo - Lealtad	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LLWLL

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