Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 15

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Lealtad		Bergantiños

	1	X	2
	2.72	2.92	2.48
	3.46	3.11	2.17
	3.34	3.11	2.15	Watch
	3.3	2.9	2.2
	3.11	2.96	2.28
	3.5	3	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↓ (3.49)	3 ↓ (3.1)	2.23 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lealtad
28.3%

Draw
30.6%

Bergantiños
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26%

29.2%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

29.2%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lealtad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Bergantiños has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lealtad than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bergantiños than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Lealtad - Bergantiños Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bergantiños (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45', 0 - 1, Martinez D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
73', Pesquera R. 🟥,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Lealtad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Lealtad won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Lealtad won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Bergantiños - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 44.83%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Lealtad
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
06.12.25	Real Oviedo B - Lealtad	1:2 ✺
29.11.25	Lealtad - UD Ourense	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Langreo - Lealtad	4:0 ✺
16.11.25	Lealtad - Rayo Cantabria	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Coruxo - Lealtad	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WLLWL
- Bergantiños FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
07.12.25	Bergantiños - Gimnástica Segoviana	3:1 ✺
30.11.25	Bergantiños - Real Oviedo B	1:2 ✺
23.11.25	UD Ourense - Bergantiños	1:0 ✺
15.11.25	Bergantiños - Atlético Astorga	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Deportivo A Coruña B - Bergantiños	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Copa Federacion
05.12.18	Bergantiños - Lealtad	1:0
21.11.18	Lealtad - Bergantiños	1:1

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