Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 13

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio La Albuera (Segovia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	WebDirecto


	Gimnástica Segoviana		Atlético Astorga

	1	X	2
	1.48	3.55	6.5
	1.51	3.72	7.15
	1.46	3.87	6.89	Watch
	1.48	3.5	7.22
	1.5	3.66	6.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.37)	3.66 ↓ (3.8)	6.88 ↓ (8.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnástica Segoviana
61.7%

Draw
25%

Atlético Astorga
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.4%

23.6%

11.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.3%

22.6%

10.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnástica Segoviana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Atlético Astorga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástica Segoviana than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gimnástica Segoviana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Astorga than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Gimnástica Segoviana - Atlético Astorga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
90+2', 0 - 1, Alvarez D. ⚽,
90+5', 1 - 1, Jaume J. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 16 in the zone Relegation).

G Segoviana is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Atlético Astorga's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

G Segoviana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, G Segoviana is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that G Segoviana will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, G Segoviana won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnástica Segoviana
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
23.11.25	Deportivo A Coruña B - Gimnástica Segoviana	0:1 ✺
16.11.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Langreo	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Rayo Cantabria - Gimnástica Segoviana	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Burgos Promesas	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Salamanca - Gimnástica Segoviana	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 WWWTW
- Atlético Astorga
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
22.11.25	Atlético Astorga - Real Oviedo B	1:1 ✺
15.11.25	Bergantiños - Atlético Astorga	0:0 ✺
08.11.25	Atlético Astorga - UD Ourense	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Lealtad - Atlético Astorga	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	Atlético Astorga - Mirandés	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
01.05.21	Atlético Astorga - Gimnástica Segoviana	2:2

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