Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 31

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday


	Gimnástica de Torrelavega		Cayón

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.15	7.1
	1.22	4.97	9.93
	1.33	4.56	8.74
	1.29	4.5	9.5
	1.26	4.9	9.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.3)	4.62 ↓ (4.66)	8.98 ↑ (8.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnástica de Torrelavega
70.2%

Draw
19.7%

Cayón
10.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.8%

19.5%

10.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.7%

18.7%

10.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnástica de Torrelavega has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Cayón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástica de Torrelavega than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cayón than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Cayón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
76', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 8).

Torrelavega is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cayón is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Cayón may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Torrelavega is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Torrelavega will win today's game, with odds of 1.3.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Torrelavega won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Torrelavega won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Cayon	5	3	1	1	5:2	3	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnástica de Torrelavega
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
11.04.26	Montañas del Pas - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	1:1 ✺
05.04.26	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Escobedo	3:0 ✺
29.03.26	Vimenor - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Tropezón	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Cartes - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TWTWW
- CD Cayón
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
12.04.26	Cayón - Revilla	2:2 ✺
02.04.26	Guarnizo - Cayón	1:0 ✺
29.03.26	Cayón - Colindres	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Selaya - Cayón	0:2 ✺
15.03.26	Cayón - Laredo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
14.12.25	Cayón - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	0:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
21.04.24	Cayón - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	1:2
10.12.23	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Cayón	2:2
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
18.04.21	Cayón - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	2:0
27.10.19	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Cayón	0:0

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