Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 5

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday


	Gimnástica de Torrelavega		Marino de Luanco

	1	X	2
	2.10	3.10	3.10
	2.18	2.95	3.10
	2.21	3.01	3.41
	2.16	3.06	3.36	Watch
	2.18	2.95	3.35
	2.14	3.23	3.44
	2.07	3.00	3.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (2.09)	3.04 ↓ (3.17)	3.29 ↓ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnástica de Torrelavega
42.4%

Draw
29.9%

Marino de Luanco
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

29%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

28.5%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnástica de Torrelavega has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Marino de Luanco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástica de Torrelavega than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marino de Luanco than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Marino de Luanco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Cueto G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
77', 1 - 1, Salas D. ⚽,
90', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Torrelavega won 2.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Torrelavega holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Torrelavega has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:4 (averaging 0.5:0.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Torrelavega against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 0:2 goals (averaging 0:0.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Torrelavega	5	1	1	3	6:10	-4	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnástica de Torrelavega
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
27.09.26	Real Oviedo B - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	3:3 ✺
20.09.26	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Bergantiños	0:3 ✺
12.09.26	Eibar B - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Llanera	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
22.08.26	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Derio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TLLWT
- Marino de Luanco
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
27.09.26	Marino de Luanco - Basconia	1:2 ✺
19.09.26	Atlético Astorga - Marino de Luanco	3:0 ✺
13.09.26	Marino de Luanco - Ourense CF	0:2 ✺
06.09.26	Compostela - Marino de Luanco	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
12.08.26	Marino de Luanco - Langreo	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
19.01.25	Marino de Luanco - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	2:0
08.09.24	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Marino de Luanco	0:1
11.02.24	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Marino de Luanco	0:0
01.10.23	Marino de Luanco - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	0:1
19.03.23	Marino de Luanco - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	0:2
30.10.22	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Marino de Luanco	0:1

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