Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 18

Date: 14 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Juan Pasquale (Belgrano)

Referee: Acita F. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports 2, TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Defensores de Belgrano		Gimnasia Jujuy

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.55	3.25	Watch
	2.5	2.5	3.3
	2.58	2.52	3.3	Watch
	2.79	2.48	3.48
	2.59	2.53	3.3	Watch
	2.5	2.6	3.3
	2.83	2.54	3.11	Watch
	2.58	2.52	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.5)	2.53 ↓ (2.8)	3.29 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensores de Belgrano
35.1%

Draw
36.7%

Gimnasia Jujuy
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

33.2%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensores de Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Gimnasia Jujuy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores de Belgrano than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia Jujuy than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Defensores de Belgrano - Gimnasia Jujuy Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 7 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 5 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Medina A. (G) 4. Mendoza G. 2. Massaccesi A. 6. Segovia J. 3. Gamarra G. 8. Sanchez C. 9. Benitez A. 5. Gutierrez I. 11. Correa L. 10. Vecchio E. 7. Aguirre E. (C)	1. Alvarez M. (G) 4. Palazzo B. 2. Cosaro G. (C) 6. Dematei N. 3. Endrizzi E. 8. Camacho S. 5. Soria H. 10. Molina F. 7. Maidana F. 11. Menendez C. 9. Quintana A.
Substitutes
13. Borsotti N. 15. Gomez B. 19. Gomez M. 14. Laba M. 12. Peraggini L. (G) 18. Pugliese G. 17. Rossi I. 20. Tcherkaski F.	12. Anchoverri S. (G) 18. Casa M. 16. Dure F. 20. Fernandez G. 15. Lopez D. 17. Noble M. 14. Sanchez S. 13. Varela J. 19. Velazquez R.
Coaches
Mayor C.	Modolo M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Maidana F. 🟨,
43', Gutierrez I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Maidana F. ↓, Dure F. ↑,
56', Molina F. ↓, Casa M. ↑,
59', Sanchez C. ↓, Tcherkaski F. ↑,
69', Menendez C. ↓, Fernandez G. ↑,
77', Quintana A. 🟨,
90+1', Massaccesi A. 🟨,
90+2', 0 - 1, Camacho S. (Pen),

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensores won 2.

Defensores is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Gimnasia Jujuy is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Defensores may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Defensores won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Defensores won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensores de Belgrano
Argentinian Primera Nacional
06.06.25	Defensores de Belgrano - Almirante Brown	1:1 ✺
01.06.25	Defensores de Belgrano - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	0:2 ✺
25.05.25	Central Norte - Defensores de Belgrano	2:1 ✺
12.05.25	Chaco For Ever - Defensores de Belgrano	1:0 ✺
05.05.25	Defensores de Belgrano - Mitre	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 TLLLW
- Gimnasia Jujuy
Argentinian Primera Nacional
01.06.25	Chacarita Juniors - Gimnasia Jujuy	0:1 ✺
25.05.25	Gimnasia Jujuy - San Telmo	1:1 ✺
19.05.25	Agropecuario Argentino - Gimnasia Jujuy	1:1 ✺
10.05.25	Gimnasia Jujuy - Nueva Chicago	2:1 ✺
04.05.25	Gimnasia Jujuy - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
09.02.25	Gimnasia Jujuy - Defensores de Belgrano	0:0
09.10.22	Defensores de Belgrano - Gimnasia Jujuy	1:2
15.11.21	Defensores de Belgrano - Gimnasia Jujuy	0:1
17.07.21	Gimnasia Jujuy - Defensores de Belgrano	1:3
06.03.20	Gimnasia Jujuy - Defensores de Belgrano	0:1
14.09.19	Defensores de Belgrano - Gimnasia Jujuy	3:2
02.09.18	Gimnasia Jujuy - Defensores de Belgrano	0:0

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