Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 16

Date: 25 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio 23 de Agosto (Jujuy)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Gimnasia Jujuy		San Telmo

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.2	6.5	Watch
	1.69	3.3	5.4	Watch
	1.72	3.36	5.99
	1.7	3.31	5.76	Watch
	1.65	3.2	5.8
	1.69	3.3	5.36
	1.69	3.3	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.67)	3.28 ↓ (3.5)	5.74 ↑ (5.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia Jujuy
55.3%

Draw
28.4%

San Telmo
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

26.6%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

25.3%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia Jujuy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

San Telmo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia Jujuy than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Telmo than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Gimnasia Jujuy - San Telmo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alvarez M. (G) 4. Lopez D. 2. Palazzo B. 6. Dematei N. 3. Endrizzi E. 8. Camacho S. 5. Soria H. 7. Maidana F. 10. Molina F. 9. Quintana A. 11. Menendez C.	1. Rufinetti A. (G) 4. Dell Aquila N. 2. Pollacchi L. 6. Morro N. 3. Ojeda L. 8. Uriburu R. 10. Maidana A. 5. Yangali J. 11. Salerno M. 7. Curcio N. 9. Cocimano S.
Substitutes
12. Anchoverri S. (G) 15. Cordoba J. 14. Dure F. 17. Noble M. 20. Puntano G. 13. Sanchez S. 16. Trasante J. 19. Velazquez R. 18. Zambrano E.	17. Britez E. 14. Cesar L. 12. Enrico J. C. (G) 13. Formichelli S. 18. Larthirigoyen I. 19. Porto J. 15. Sosa R. 16. Tello F. 20. Zurbriggen J.
Coaches
Modolo M.	Monasterio C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+1', 1 - 0, Quintana A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Curcio N. ↓, Larthirigoyen I. ↑,
57', Maidana A. ↓, Porto J. ↑,
61', Quintana A. ↓, Dure F. ↑,
74', Menendez C. ↓, Puntano G. ↑,
75', Camacho S. ↓, Cordoba J. ↑,
75', Uriburu R. ↓, Zurbriggen J. ↑,
84', Ojeda L. ↓, Sosa R. ↑,
84', Astina M. ↓, Britez E. ↑,
86', Molina F. ↓, Velazquez R. ↑,
86', Maidana F. ↓, Trasante J. ↑,
87', 1 - 1, Zurbriggen J. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: ) and 11).

Gimnasia Jujuy has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

San Telmo is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

San Telmo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Gimnasia Jujuy is the team to beat.

We predict that Gimnasia Jujuy will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia Jujuy won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Gimnasia Jujuy won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia Jujuy
Argentinian Primera Nacional
19.05.25	Agropecuario Argentino - Gimnasia Jujuy	1:1 ✺
10.05.25	Gimnasia Jujuy - Nueva Chicago	2:1 ✺
04.05.25	Gimnasia Jujuy - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	2:0 ✺
27.04.25	Central Norte - Gimnasia Jujuy	1:2 ✺
19.04.25	Gimnasia Jujuy - Almirante Brown	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TWWWW
- CA San Telmo
Argentinian Primera Nacional
12.05.25	Central Norte - San Telmo	1:2 ✺
03.05.25	San Telmo - Almirante Brown	0:1 ✺
26.04.25	Chaco For Ever - San Telmo	1:2 ✺
20.04.25	San Telmo - Mitre	0:0 ✺
14.04.25	Colón - San Telmo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.8 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
02.11.24	San Telmo - Gimnasia Jujuy	1:0
10.04.22	San Telmo - Gimnasia Jujuy	0:0
07.11.21	Gimnasia Jujuy - San Telmo	2:1
10.07.21	San Telmo - Gimnasia Jujuy	0:0

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