Match Info

ARGENTINA: Copa Argentina - 1/32-finals

Date: 26 March 2025, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
Portugal	Sport TV6
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	San Martín de San Juan		Gimnasia Jujuy

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.55	2.6	2.87
	2.43	2.8	3.45	Watch
	2.41	2.74	3.5	Watch
	2.5	2.7	3.1
	2.27	2.83	3.79	Watch
	2.43	2.8	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.09)	2.75 ↓ (3.3)	3.36 ↓ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Martín de San Juan
38.3%

Draw
33.9%

Gimnasia Jujuy
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

28.6%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

29.9%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Martín de San Juan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Martín de San Juan's form might have worsened.

Gimnasia Jujuy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de San Juan than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Martín de San Juan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia Jujuy than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	45.5%	36.4%

San Martín de San Juan - Gimnasia Jujuy Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. San Martín will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Gimnasia Jujuy will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Penalties (3 - 0)
1, Anselmo F. (Pen),
1, Dematei N. (Pen),
2, Iacobellis M. (Pen),
2, Dure F. (Pen),
3, Gonzalez F. (Pen),
3, Noble M. (Pen),

Preview

Neutral location.

Last 5 head-to-head matches San Martín won 2.

San Martín is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gimnasia Jujuy is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

San Martín could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

San Martín will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches San Martín won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:8 (average 1.3:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams San Martín won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11:4 (average 2.2:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Martín de San Juan
Argentinian Liga Profesional
17.03.25	San Martín de San Juan - Platense	0:2 ✺
07.03.25	Vélez Sársfield - San Martín de San Juan	1:0 ✺
28.02.25	San Martín de San Juan - Belgrano	3:1 ✺
22.02.25	San Martín de San Juan - River Plate	0:2 ✺
17.02.25	Gimnasia La Plata - San Martín de San Juan	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWLL
- Gimnasia Jujuy
Argentinian Primera Nacional
22.03.25	Gimnasia Jujuy - Temperley	2:0 ✺
16.03.25	Defensores Unidos - Gimnasia Jujuy	0:3 ✺
09.03.25	Gimnasia Jujuy - Estudiantes de Caseros	0:1 ✺
02.03.25	Deportivo Morón - Gimnasia Jujuy	0:0 ✺
23.02.25	Gimnasia Jujuy - Talleres de Remedios de Escalada	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
07.07.24	Gimnasia Jujuy - San Martín de San Juan	1:0
18.02.24	San Martín de San Juan - Gimnasia Jujuy	2:1
27.03.22	San Martín de San Juan - Gimnasia Jujuy	3:0
24.10.21	Gimnasia Jujuy - San Martín de San Juan	1:0
29.06.21	San Martín de San Juan - Gimnasia Jujuy	2:2
26.10.14	San Martín de San Juan - Gimnasia Jujuy	2:0
29.08.14	Gimnasia Jujuy - San Martín de San Juan	1:0

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