The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Martín de San Juan 59.4%
Draw 24.8%
Gimnasia Jujuy 15.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
50.5%
26.7%
22.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.4%
25.7%
21.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Martín de San Juan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Martín de San Juan's performance.
Gimnasia Jujuy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gimnasia Jujuy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín de San Juan than the current prediction. (-7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Martín de San Juan that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia Jujuy than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gimnasia Jujuy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
25%
25%
San Martín de San Juan - Gimnasia Jujuy Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. San Martín will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Gimnasia Jujuy will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Gimnasia Jujuy is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs ).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Martín won 3.
Recent results have been tough for San Martín (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Gimnasia Jujuy has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).
San Martín carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, San Martín has recorded 5 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:10 (averaging 1.3:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for San Martín against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 12:4 goals (averaging 2:0.7 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
San Martín de San Juan - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50.51%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
Gimnasia Jujuy - the odds 4.1 are the expected chance of winning is 22.79%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.