Match Info

ARGENTINA: COPA DE LA LIGA PROFESIONAL - RELEGATION - PLAY OFFS - FINAL

Date: 1 December 2023, Friday


	Gimnasia La Plata		Colón

	1	X	2
	3.6	3	2.3	Watch
	3.25	2.95	2.35
	3.4	3	2.3	Watch
	3.62	2.98	2.37
	3.62	2.98	2.37
	3.4	3.05	2.27
	3.25	2.85	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↑ (2.51)	2.97 ↓ (3)	2.31 ↓ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia La Plata
27.4%

Draw
31.8%

Colón
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

32.2%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gimnasia La Plata's form might have worsened.

Colón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Colón's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gimnasia La Plata, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colón than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Colón, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	66.7%	33.3%

Gimnasia La Plata - Colón Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Colón will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Insfran N. (G) 6. Enrique G. 4. Morales L. (C) 20. Cabral Y. 24. Guiffrey G. 9. Abaldo M. 5. Saravia Salvia R. A. 10. De Blasis P. 18. Colazo N. 27. Soldano F. 25. Tarragona C.	12. Ibanez M. (G) 21. Meza E. 2. German Conti 33. Garces F. (C) 40. Delgado R. 19. Galvan T. 5. Vega C. 14. Perlaza B. 10. Botta R. 31. Alvarez F. 9. Abila R.
Substitutes
28. Barros Schelotto B. 14. Bolivar A. 30. Castillo R. 89. Castro L. 21. Chavez L. 7. Dominguez B. 1. Durso T. (G) 3. Gallo R. 32. Gomez L. 29. Mammini I. 19. Napolitano A. 37. Sanchez F.	26. Arrua C. 27. Benitez J. 15. Cardozo A. 17. Chicco I. (G) 6. Goltz P. 50. Guille B. 11. Ibanez J. 3. Mas E. 34. Moreyra S. 36. Nardelli G. 30. Pierotti S. 22. Toledo J.
Coaches
Madelon L.	Damonte I.

Preview

Neutral location - Estadio Marcelo Bielsa.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Colón won 2.

Recent matches Colón is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gimnasia La Plata is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Colón will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Colón won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Colón won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia La Plata
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
25.11.23	Banfield - Gimnasia La Plata	2:0 ✺
10.11.23	Gimnasia La Plata - Atlético Tucumán	1:2 ✺
03.11.23	Arsenal Sarandí - Gimnasia La Plata	0:0 ✺
29.10.23	Gimnasia La Plata - River Plate	1:2 ✺
24.10.23	Barracas Central - Gimnasia La Plata	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLTLW
- CA Colón
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
25.11.23	Vélez Sársfield - Colón	3:1 ✺
12.11.23	Colón - Talleres de Córdoba	3:0 ✺
06.11.23	Banfield - Colón	2:1 ✺
29.10.23	Colón - Atlético Tucumán	1:0 ✺
25.10.23	Arsenal Sarandí - Colón	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
25.08.23	Colón - Gimnasia La Plata	2:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
04.03.23	Gimnasia La Plata - Colón	0:0
16.07.22	Gimnasia La Plata - Colón	0:0
13.08.21	Colón - Gimnasia La Plata	1:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
12.12.20	Colón - Gimnasia La Plata	0:2
Argentinian Liga Profesional
19.08.19	Colón - Gimnasia La Plata	2:1
06.04.19	Gimnasia La Plata - Colón	3:2

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