The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gimnasia La Plata 48.6%
Draw 28.4%
Atlético Tucumán 23.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
43%
30.4%
26.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.1%
29.6%
25.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gimnasia La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gimnasia La Plata's performance.
Atlético Tucumán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Tucumán than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
68.7%
25%
6.2%
Gimnasia La Plata - Atlético Tucumán Predictions
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Gimnasia La Plata will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Atlético Tucumán will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Gimnasia La Plata: 46.1% – 91.5%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gimnasia La Plata (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
New Consensus by Tipsters:
1X2 - Gimnasia LP (1.92) (votes: 91%) ⭐ Best Value.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Insfran N. (G) 31. Barros Schelotto B. 13. German Conti 21. Martinez E. 22. Melluso M. 9. Zalazar M. 5. Miramon I. 8. Fernandez N. (C) 17. Janson L. 19. Colazo A. 29. Auzmendi A.
1. Ingolotti L. (G) 24. Di Placido L. 26. Ferreira Namandu C. D. 36. Vallejo L. 21. Galvan I. 5. Fernandez J. 11. Tesuri R. (C) 31. Godoy L. 10. Franco N. 23. Lamendola N. 18. Ruiz R.
Substitutes
15. Castillo H. (G) 35. Cortazzo J. 4. Giampaoli R. 16. Max A. 43. Ojeda M. 7. Panaro M. 20. Perez J. 10. Schelotto N. 18. Seoane M. 25. Steimbach A. 26. Torres F. 32. Torres M.
30. Brondo M. 14. Canelo A. 34. Carrizo M. 28. Compagnucci G. 25. Durso T. (G) 6. Ferrari G. 27. Granillo R. 8. Ham E. 32. Infante J. 22. Pimienta F. 17. Rodriguez J. 3. Villa M.
Coaches
Pereyra A.
Falcioni J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Fernandez N. 🟨,
16', Ferreira Namandu C. D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Tesuri R. ↓, Compagnucci G. ↑,
60', Colazo A. 🟨,
60', Ingolotti L. 🟨,
61', Lamendola N. ↓, Ham E. ↑,
61', Galvan I. ↓, Infante J. ↑,
65', Zalazar M. ↓, Torres F. ↑,
65', Barros Schelotto B. ↓, Steimbach A. ↑,
70', Fernandez J. 🟨,
73', Janson L. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
73', Colazo A. ↓, Torres M. ↑,
81', Franco N. 🟨,
83', 0 - 1, Godoy L. ⚽, Ruiz R. (A),
88', Melluso M. ↓, Ojeda M. ↑,
90+1', Ruiz R. ↓, Canelo A. ↑,
90+1', Franco N. ↓, Villa M. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 1, Torres M. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia La Plata won 4.
Gimnasia La Plata has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Atlético Tucumán has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
In this matchup, Gimnasia La Plata is considered the favorite to take the win.
Confirmed absences for Gimnasia La Plata: Aguiar P.
(Inactive)
Di Biasi F.
(Knee Injury)
Errecalde G.
(Muscle Injury)
German Conti
(Inactive)
Kadijevic J.
(Inactive)
Mammini I.
(Knee Injury)
Merlo J.
(Muscle Injury).
Confirmed absences for Atlético Tucumán: Brandan M.
(Calf Injury)
Canelo A.
(Inactive)
Diaz L.
(Inactive)
Martin Benitez
(Muscle Injury)
Ortiz K.
(Muscle Injury)
Suso G.
(Knee Injury)
Vega L.
(Yellow Cards).
In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, Gimnasia La Plata has recorded 9 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:20 (averaging 0.9:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Gimnasia La Plata against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 8:5 goals (averaging 0.9:0.6 per game).
Argentina
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Insfran N. (G) 
Martinez E. 
Ferreira Namandu C. D. 
Castillo H. (G) 
Ham E. 
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