Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 9

Date: 10 March 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo (La Plata)

Referee: Ramirez N. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	Disney+, TyC Sports Internacional


	Gimnasia La Plata		Deportivo Riestra

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.88	4.2	Watch
	1.98	2.9	4.5
	2.18	2.85	3.9
	2.19	2.91	4.29
	2.15	2.92	4.12
	1.85	3.2	4.5
	2.17	2.96	4.33	Watch
	2.18	2.85	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.94)	2.93 ↓ (3.12)	4.22 ↓ (4.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

Watch this match and Argentinian Liga Profesional with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: TyC Sports

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia La Plata
45.2%

Draw
32.3%

Deportivo Riestra
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

30.2%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

30.5%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Deportivo Riestra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Riestra than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.6%	8.9%	2.5%

Gimnasia La Plata - Deportivo Riestra Predictions

Users Predictions: Gimnasia La Plata will win (70 of 79 users predict this - 88.61%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.6% – 95.62%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Insfran N. (G) 15. Pintado J. 4. Morales L. (C) 6. Suso G. 14. Silva Torrejon P. 7. Piedrahita A. 36. Garayalde N. 39. Di Biasi F. 19. Castro L. 25. Sosa A. 30. Castillo R.	1. Arce I. (G) 15. Sansotre N. 24. Mino F. 22. Paz C. 3. Caro Nicolas 5. Ramirez P. 8. Celiz M. 27. Goitia J. 7. Alonso A. 32. Benegas N. 9. Herrera J.
Substitutes
28. Corbalan F. 20. Giampaoli R. 1. Ingolotti L. (G) 9. Jan Hurtado 29. Mammini I. 34. Mamut L. 16. Max A. 22. Melluso M. 93. Moreno J. 38. Panaro M. 33. Villalba J. 42. Villarreal S.	36. Bracamonte M. 10. Bravo G. 20. Diaz A. 11. Fernandez G. 18. Guille B. 12. Manganelli N. (G) 14. Monje P. 4. Murillo Yaison 40. Obredor G. 23. Ramirez M. 37. Sanabria M. 35. Sanchez B.
Coaches
Flores D.	Benitez G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Alonso A. ⚽, Sansotre N. (A),
41', Benegas N. 🟨,
43', Castro L. 🟨,
45+2', Caro Nicolas 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Di Biasi F. 🟨,
55', Alonso A. ↓, Monje P. ↑,
59', Garayalde N. ↓, Jan Hurtado ↑,
68', Benegas N. ↓, Diaz A. ↑,
73', Pintado J. ↓, Corbalan F. ↑,
73', Piedrahita A. ↓, Panaro M. ↑,
79', Goitia J. ↓, Murillo Yaison ↑,
79', Ramirez P. ↓, Bracamonte M. ↑,
80', Bracamonte M. 🟨,
82', Sosa A. ↓, Villarreal S. ↑,
82', Castillo R. ↓, Mammini I. ↑,
87', Suso G. 🟨,
89', Herrera J. (Pen),
90+5', 1 - 1, Murillo Yaison (Own goal),

Preview

Gimnasia La Plata is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Deportivo Riestra is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gimnasia La Plata could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Gimnasia La Plata is a favorite.

There will not play in Gimnasia La Plata: Briasco N. (Injury) Fernandez M. (Injury) Gonzalez G. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Martinez E. (Knee Injury) Sosa A. (Injury) Torres F. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Deportivo Riestra: Gallo R. (Inactive) Monje P. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Deportivo Riestra: Tovo E. (Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Gimnasia La Plata won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Gimnasia La Plata won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia La Plata
Argentinian Liga Profesional
01.03.25	Unión Santa Fe - Gimnasia La Plata	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Atlético Tucumán - Gimnasia La Plata	0:1 ✺
17.02.25	Gimnasia La Plata - San Martín de San Juan	1:0 ✺
13.02.25	Lanús - Gimnasia La Plata	0:0 ✺
09.02.25	Gimnasia La Plata - Godoy Cruz	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 LWWTW
- Deportivo Riestra
Copa Argentina
05.03.25	Deportivo Riestra - San Telmo	3:2 penalties ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.02.25	Central Córdoba - Deportivo Riestra	0:0 ✺
21.02.25	Deportivo Riestra - Talleres de Córdoba	0:0 ✺
17.02.25	Sarmiento de Junín - Deportivo Riestra	2:1 ✺
12.02.25	Deportivo Riestra - Rosario Central	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
20.09.24	Gimnasia La Plata - Deportivo Riestra	0:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
31.03.24	Gimnasia La Plata - Deportivo Riestra	2:1

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